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Eredivisie

Referee: Bas Nijhuis

Waalwijk

U T T T T

1–2

Full-time

Vitesse

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,5

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

3,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-2,5

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

57%

Points per game

0,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

86%

71%

Both score Ø 57%

57%

Average goals

4,4

3,6

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

3,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

-2,4

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

10 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Waalwijk 18. · Vitesse 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	6	2	0	+21	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	2	0	+13	17
3	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	1	1	+13	16
4	Vitesse	7	4	2	1	+3	14
5	Twente	7	3	3	1	+4	12
6	Sparta Rotterdam	8	3	3	2	+1	12
7	Willem II	7	4	0	3	-1	12
8	Utrecht	7	3	2	2	+3	11
9	Heracles	7	3	2	2	-1	11
10	Heerenveen	8	2	4	2	+2	10
11	Feyenoord	7	2	4	1	-1	10
12	VVV Venlo	8	3	0	5	-7	9
13	Zwolle	7	2	1	4	-3	7
14	Groningen	8	2	1	5	-5	7
15	FC Emmen	8	2	1	5	-6	7
16	Den Haag	8	2	0	6	-6	6
17	For Sittard	8	0	3	5	-13	3
18	Waalwijk	7	0	1	6	-17	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+15	12
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	Vitesse	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+8	7
5	FC Emmen	5	2	1	2	+2	7
6	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	0	1	+4	6
7	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Willem II	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	VVV Venlo	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Twente	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Feyenoord	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Zwolle	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Heerenveen	4	0	4	0	+0	4
14	Heracles	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Groningen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Waalwijk	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	0	1	+5	9
2	Ajax	4	2	2	0	+6	8
3	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Twente	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Heracles	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Heerenveen	4	2	0	2	+2	6
7	Willem II	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	3	1	-3	6
9	Feyenoord	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-4	4
13	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	VVV Venlo	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Zwolle	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Waalwijk	4	0	1	3	-10	1
17	For Sittard	4	0	1	3	-11	1
18	FC Emmen	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.