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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

Zwolle

T T T U S

6–2

Full-time

Waalwijk

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 82%

83%

80%

Both score Ø 64%

67%

60%

Average goals

3,2

3,8

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

2,0

2,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,8

This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,8

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 90%

100%

80%

Both score Ø 70%

80%

60%

Average goals

3,8

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

2,4

2,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

52% Possession 48%

14 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 5

5 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zwolle 15. · Waalwijk 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+14	13
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+11	13
3	Vitesse	6	3	2	1	+1	11
4	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	+9	10
5	Utrecht	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Twente	5	2	3	0	+4	9
7	Willem II	5	3	0	2	+1	9
8	VVV Venlo	6	3	0	3	-3	9
9	Sparta Rotterdam	6	2	2	2	-3	8
10	Feyenoord	4	1	3	0	+1	6
11	Den Haag	5	2	0	3	-1	6
12	Heerenveen	6	1	3	2	-1	6
13	Heracles	5	1	2	2	-5	5
14	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	FC Emmen	6	1	0	5	-9	3
17	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Waalwijk	5	0	1	4	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+8	7
2	Vitesse	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	VVV Venlo	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Twente	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Heerenveen	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	FC Emmen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Willem II	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Feyenoord	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Waalwijk	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Willem II	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	2	1	-3	5
5	Twente	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Heracles	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Groningen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	-3	4
11	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Heerenveen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Zwolle	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	VVV Venlo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Waalwijk	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	FC Emmen	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.