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Eliteserien

Referee: Rohit Saggi

Molde

S U S S S

2–1

Full-time

Lillestrom

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,2

This season — Eliteserien · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 50%

68%

32%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

73%

55%

Both score Ø 60%

64%

55%

Average goals

3,4

2,9

Scored

2,4

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

72% Possession 28%

19 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 1. · Lillestrom 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	22	15	4	3	+30	49
2	Bodo/Glimt	22	13	5	4	+16	44
3	Odd	22	12	5	5	+9	41
4	Rosenborg	23	11	7	5	+9	40
5	Brann	23	9	7	7	+5	34
6	Viking	22	9	6	7	+5	33
7	Kristiansund	22	9	6	7	+5	33
8	Haugesund	22	6	9	7	+4	27
9	Valerenga	22	7	6	9	-1	27
10	Lillestrom	22	7	5	10	-8	26
11	Stabaek	22	6	6	10	-6	24
12	Stromsgodset	22	6	4	12	-15	22
13	Tromso	22	6	4	12	-19	22
14	Mjondalen	22	4	9	9	-11	21
15	Ranheim	22	5	5	12	-14	20
16	Sarpsborg 08	22	3	10	9	-9	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Odd	12	10	2	0	+15	32
2	Rosenborg	12	8	3	1	+14	27
3	Bodo/Glimt	11	8	2	1	+20	26
4	Molde	10	8	2	0	+20	26
5	Viking	11	6	3	2	+10	21
6	Kristiansund	10	6	2	2	+10	20
7	Valerenga	11	5	3	3	+6	18
8	Stabaek	12	4	5	3	+4	17
9	Lillestrom	11	5	2	4	-1	17
10	Brann	11	4	4	3	+1	16
11	Stromsgodset	11	5	1	5	-4	16
12	Sarpsborg 08	11	3	6	2	+1	15
13	Mjondalen	11	3	4	4	-3	13
14	Tromso	11	3	3	5	-2	12
15	Haugesund	11	2	5	4	+0	11
16	Ranheim	11	2	2	7	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	12	7	2	3	+10	23
2	Brann	12	5	3	4	+4	18
3	Bodo/Glimt	11	5	3	3	-4	18
4	Haugesund	11	4	4	3	+4	16
5	Rosenborg	11	3	4	4	-5	13
6	Kristiansund	12	3	4	5	-5	13
7	Viking	11	3	3	5	-5	12
8	Ranheim	11	3	3	5	-5	12
9	Tromso	11	3	1	7	-17	10
10	Odd	10	2	3	5	-6	9
11	Valerenga	11	2	3	6	-7	9
12	Lillestrom	11	2	3	6	-7	9
13	Mjondalen	11	1	5	5	-8	8
14	Stabaek	10	2	1	7	-10	7
15	Stromsgodset	11	1	3	7	-11	6
16	Sarpsborg 08	11	0	4	7	-10	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.