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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martínez
Eibar
U T T U S
2–0
Full-time
Celta
S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
7 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 16. · Celta 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 7 4 3 0 +6 15
2 Granada 7 4 2 1 +7 14
3 Ath Madrid 7 4 2 1 +3 14
4 Barcelona 7 4 1 2 +6 13
5 Sociedad 6 4 1 1 +6 13
6 Ath Bilbao 7 3 3 1 +4 12
7 Villarreal 7 3 2 2 +7 11
8 Sevilla 6 3 1 2 +2 10
9 Valencia 7 2 3 2 -1 9
10 Valladolid 7 2 3 2 -1 9
11 Betis 7 2 2 3 -5 8
12 Getafe 7 1 4 2 -1 7
13 Levante 6 2 1 3 -1 7
14 Osasuna 6 1 4 1 -1 7
15 Celta 6 1 3 2 -3 6
16 Eibar 6 1 2 3 -2 5
17 Alaves 6 1 2 3 -5 5
18 Espanol 7 1 2 4 -8 5
19 Mallorca 6 1 1 4 -6 4
20 Leganes 7 0 2 5 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Celta
Anaitz Arbilla 🟨
19′
22′
🟨 Lucas Olaza
Fabián Orellana 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–0
Álvaro Tejero 🔁
↦ Cote
46′
1–0 Edu Expósito
P. De Blasis
47′
2–0 F. Orellana
T. Inui
60′
64′
🔁 Rafinha
↦ S. Lobotka
68′
🔁 Pape Diop
↦ O. Yokuşlu
Pedro León 🔁
↦ F. Orellana
73′
Charles 🔁
↦ Kike
77′
86′
🔁 G. Fernández
↦ Brais Méndez
Sergio Álvarez 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Eibar

4-3-3
1 Marko Dmitrović G
16 Pablo De Blasis D
12 Paulo Oliveira D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
15 José Ángel D
5 Gonzalo Escalante M
6 Sergio Álvarez M
10 Edu Expósito M
14 Fabián Orellana F
17 Kike F
22 Takashi Inui F
Bench (7)
13 Yoel Rodríguez
24 Álvaro Tejero
3 Pedro Bigas
4 Iván Ramis
8 Papakouli Diop
21 Pedro León
19 Charles Días

Coach: Mendilibar

Celta

4-4-2
13 Rubén Blanco G
2 Hugo Mallo D
18 Joseph Aidoo D
4 Néstor Araujo D
15 Lucas Olaza D
23 Brais Méndez M
5 Okay Yokuşlu M
14 Stanislav Lobotka M
6 Denis Suárez M
22 Santi Mina F
10 Iago Aspas F
Bench (7)
1 Sergio Álvarez
20 Kevin Vazquez
16 Jorge Sáenz
8 Fran Beltran
12 Rafinha Alcántara
24 Pape Cheikh
19 Gabriel Fernández

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,36
U
3,30
B
3,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,03
U2,5 ✓
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Juan Martínez · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.