Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

T U U S T

4–1

Full-time

Dresden

S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Dresden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

43%

29%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

43%

71%

Both score Ø 57%

43%

71%

Average goals

2,6

3,3

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

12 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 2

5 Corners 11

14 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 8. · Dresden 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	8	6	2	0	+7	20
2	Hamburg	8	5	2	1	+12	17
3	Bielefeld	8	4	3	1	+8	15
4	Heidenheim	8	3	3	2	+3	12
5	Sandhausen	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	Greuther Furth	7	3	2	2	+0	11
7	Karlsruhe	8	3	2	3	-2	11
8	Erzgebirge Aue	7	3	2	2	-2	11
9	Osnabruck	8	3	1	4	+2	10
10	St Pauli	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Dresden	7	2	3	2	-1	9
12	Nurnberg	7	2	3	2	-3	9
13	Regensburg	8	2	2	4	+2	8
14	Hannover	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Darmstadt	8	1	4	3	-4	7
16	Bochum	8	0	5	3	-4	5
17	Holstein Kiel	7	1	2	4	-6	5
18	Wehen	8	1	1	6	-12	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Hamburg	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Osnabruck	4	2	1	1	+5	7
4	Heidenheim	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Erzgebirge Aue	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Karlsruhe	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Dresden	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Sandhausen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	St Pauli	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Greuther Furth	3	2	0	1	+0	6
11	Darmstadt	3	1	2	0	+2	5
12	Bielefeld	4	1	2	1	+1	5
13	Holstein Kiel	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Nurnberg	4	1	2	1	-3	5
15	Bochum	4	0	4	0	+0	4
16	Regensburg	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Wehen	5	1	0	4	-10	3
18	Hannover	3	0	2	1	-2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Stuttgart	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Hamburg	4	2	1	1	+4	7
4	Hannover	4	2	0	2	+0	6
5	Heidenheim	4	1	2	1	+1	5
6	Greuther Furth	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Regensburg	4	1	1	2	+3	4
8	Sandhausen	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Nurnberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Karlsruhe	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Erzgebirge Aue	4	1	1	2	-4	4
12	St Pauli	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Osnabruck	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Dresden	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Darmstadt	5	0	2	3	-6	2
16	Wehen	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Bochum	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Holstein Kiel	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.