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Eredivisie

Referee: Pol van Boekel

AZ Alkmaar

U T S S S

2–0

Full-time

Heracles

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 57%

71%

43%

Points per game

2,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 50%

29%

71%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

2,3

1,6

Conceded

0,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,9

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

68% Possession 32%

16 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 4. · Heracles 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	6	2	0	+21	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	2	0	+17	20
3	Vitesse	8	5	2	1	+4	17
4	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	1	1	+13	16
5	Utrecht	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Twente	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Sparta Rotterdam	8	3	3	2	+1	12
8	Willem II	8	4	0	4	-3	12
9	Heracles	7	3	2	2	-1	11
10	Heerenveen	8	2	4	2	+2	10
11	Feyenoord	7	2	4	1	-1	10
12	VVV Venlo	8	3	0	5	-7	9
13	Groningen	8	2	1	5	-5	7
14	FC Emmen	8	2	1	5	-6	7
15	Zwolle	8	2	1	5	-7	7
16	Den Haag	8	2	0	6	-6	6
17	For Sittard	8	0	3	5	-13	3
18	Waalwijk	8	0	1	7	-18	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+15	12
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	Vitesse	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Utrecht	4	3	0	1	+5	9
5	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+8	7
6	FC Emmen	5	2	1	2	+2	7
7	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Willem II	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	VVV Venlo	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Twente	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Feyenoord	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Heerenveen	4	0	4	0	+0	4
13	Zwolle	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Heracles	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Groningen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Waalwijk	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Ajax	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	Twente	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Heracles	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	-2	7
7	Heerenveen	4	2	0	2	+2	6
8	Willem II	4	2	0	2	-2	6
9	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	3	1	-3	6
10	Feyenoord	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-4	4
13	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	VVV Venlo	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Zwolle	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Waalwijk	4	0	1	3	-10	1
17	For Sittard	4	0	1	3	-11	1
18	FC Emmen	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.