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Ligue 1

Referee: H Ben El Hadj

Strasbourg

T U T S T

1–0

Full-time

Montpellier

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,7

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

14%

43%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 22%

29%

14%

Both score Ø 43%

43%

Average goals

2,0

1,6

Scored

0,7

0,9

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

8 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Strasbourg 18. · Montpellier 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	6	0	2	+9	18
2	Angers	8	5	1	2	+5	16
3	Nantes	8	5	1	2	+3	16
4	Lille	8	4	2	2	+4	14
5	Nice	8	4	1	3	+0	13
6	Bordeaux	8	3	3	2	+3	12
7	Marseille	7	3	3	1	+1	12
8	Reims	8	3	2	3	+3	11
9	Rennes	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Montpellier	7	3	2	2	+1	11
11	Lyon	8	2	3	3	+6	9
12	Monaco	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Toulouse	8	2	3	3	-4	9
14	Nimes	7	2	2	3	-1	8
15	Amiens	8	2	2	4	-4	8
16	Metz	8	2	2	4	-4	8
17	Brest	8	1	5	2	-5	8
18	Strasbourg	7	1	3	3	-4	6
19	Dijon	8	1	2	5	-6	5
20	St Etienne	7	1	2	4	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Lille	4	4	0	0	+7	12
3	Nantes	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Paris SG	4	3	0	1	+6	9
5	Montpellier	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Monaco	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	Nice	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Nimes	3	2	0	1	+3	6
9	Brest	4	1	3	0	+1	6
10	Toulouse	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Bordeaux	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Reims	4	1	2	1	+1	5
13	Strasbourg	4	1	2	1	-1	5
14	Lyon	4	1	1	2	+4	4
15	Metz	4	1	1	2	+0	4
16	Rennes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Marseille	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Amiens	4	1	1	2	-2	4
19	St Etienne	3	0	2	1	-1	2
20	Dijon	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	3	0	1	+3	9
2	Marseille	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Bordeaux	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Rennes	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Reims	4	2	0	2	+2	6
6	Nantes	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Nice	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Lyon	4	1	2	1	+2	5
9	Amiens	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Metz	4	1	1	2	-4	4
11	Dijon	4	1	0	3	-3	3
12	Toulouse	5	0	3	2	-5	3
13	Angers	3	1	0	2	-5	3
14	St Etienne	4	1	0	3	-6	3
15	Montpellier	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Monaco	3	0	2	1	-3	2
17	Lille	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Nimes	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Brest	4	0	2	2	-6	2
20	Strasbourg	3	0	1	2	-3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.