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Superligaen
Aarhus
S S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Nordsjaelland
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Nordsjaelland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
0,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,0
This season — Superligaen · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
50%
80%
Both score Ø 55%
40%
70%
Average goals
2,1
3,4
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aarhus 3. · Nordsjaelland 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Midtjylland 10 8 2 0 +12 26
2 FC Copenhagen 11 8 1 2 +10 25
3 Aarhus 10 5 2 3 +7 17
4 Nordsjaelland 10 5 1 4 +2 16
5 Brondby 10 5 1 4 +2 16
6 Lyngby 11 5 0 6 -6 15
7 Randers FC 10 4 2 4 +3 14
8 Odense 10 4 2 4 +3 14
9 Aalborg 10 4 1 5 +4 13
10 Sonderjyske 10 2 6 2 +1 12
11 Hobro 11 2 6 3 -2 12
12 Horsens 10 3 1 6 -10 10
13 Esbjerg 10 2 2 6 -9 8
14 Silkeborg 11 0 3 8 -17 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.