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Eredivisie

Referee: Christaan Bax

Sparta Rotterdam

S S U T T

4–0

Full-time

Waalwijk

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

4,5

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

2,5

3,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-2,2

This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

4,5

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

2,5

3,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-2,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%

19 Shots 15

8 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 8

14 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 11. · Waalwijk 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+14	13
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+11	13
3	Twente	7	3	3	1	+4	12
4	Vitesse	6	3	2	1	+1	11
5	Heracles	7	3	2	2	-1	11
6	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	+9	10
7	Utrecht	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Feyenoord	5	2	3	0	+2	9
9	Willem II	6	3	0	3	-2	9
10	VVV Venlo	6	3	0	3	-3	9
11	Sparta Rotterdam	6	2	2	2	-3	8
12	Zwolle	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Heerenveen	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Den Haag	6	2	0	4	-2	6
15	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	FC Emmen	6	1	0	5	-9	3
17	For Sittard	5	0	2	3	-6	2
18	Waalwijk	6	0	1	5	-13	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+8	7
2	Vitesse	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	VVV Venlo	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Twente	4	1	2	1	+1	5
8	Feyenoord	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Zwolle	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Heracles	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Heerenveen	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	FC Emmen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Willem II	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Waalwijk	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Twente	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Heracles	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Willem II	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	2	1	-3	5
7	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Groningen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	-3	4
11	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	+0	3
13	Heerenveen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Zwolle	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	VVV Venlo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Waalwijk	3	0	1	2	-6	1
18	FC Emmen	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.