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Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia

S S S U U

2–3

Full-time

Pogon Szczecin

S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Pogon Szczecin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

This season — Ekstraklasa · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 50%

44%

56%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

44%

22%

Both score Ø 50%

56%

44%

Average goals

2,6

1,7

Scored

1,7

1,1

Conceded

0,9

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jagiellonia 5. · Pogon Szczecin 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lechia Gdansk	10	5	4	1	+5	19
2	Pogon Szczecin	9	5	3	1	+5	18
3	Slask Wroclaw	10	4	5	1	+4	17
4	Legia	10	5	2	3	+3	17
5	Jagiellonia	9	4	4	1	+7	16
6	Cracovia	9	5	1	3	+5	16
7	Wisla Plock	10	5	1	4	-6	16
8	Lech Poznan	10	4	3	3	+4	15
9	Piast Gliwice	10	4	3	3	+2	15
10	Gornik Zabrze	10	3	3	4	-1	12
11	Wisla	9	3	2	4	+3	11
12	Zaglebie	9	2	3	4	+0	9
13	Rakow	10	3	0	7	-5	9
14	Arka Gdynia	10	2	3	5	-7	9
15	Korona Kielce	10	2	2	6	-8	8
16	LKS Lodz	9	1	1	7	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	5	3	1	1	+3	10
2	Pogon Szczecin	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Wisla Plock	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Wisla	4	3	0	1	+6	9
5	Cracovia	5	3	0	2	+3	9
6	Lechia Gdansk	5	2	3	0	+3	9
7	Zaglebie	5	2	2	1	+4	8
8	Slask Wroclaw	4	2	2	0	+2	8
9	Piast Gliwice	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Jagiellonia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Legia	5	2	1	2	+1	7
12	Rakow	6	2	0	4	-2	6
13	Arka Gdynia	5	1	3	1	-2	6
14	Lech Poznan	4	1	1	2	+1	4
15	Korona Kielce	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	LKS Lodz	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	6	3	2	1	+3	11
2	Lechia Gdansk	5	3	1	1	+2	10
3	Legia	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Jagiellonia	5	2	3	0	+5	9
5	Slask Wroclaw	6	2	3	1	+2	9
6	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Cracovia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Piast Gliwice	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Wisla Plock	5	2	0	3	-8	6
10	Korona Kielce	5	1	1	3	-5	4
11	Rakow	4	1	0	3	-3	3
12	Arka Gdynia	5	1	0	4	-5	3
13	LKS Lodz	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Wisla	5	0	2	3	-3	2
15	Gornik Zabrze	5	0	2	3	-4	2
16	Zaglebie	4	0	1	3	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.