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Süper Lig
Referee: A Palabıyık
Trabzonspor
U S U U T
4–1
Full-time
Besiktas
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 80%
100%
60%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 80%
100%
60%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%
13 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
23 Free kicks against 10
6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Trabzonspor 14. · Besiktas 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 6 4 2 0 +7 14
2 Fenerbahce 6 3 2 1 +5 11
3 Gaziantep 5 3 1 1 +0 10
4 Sivasspor 6 2 3 1 +3 9
5 Konyaspor 6 2 3 1 +1 9
6 Galatasaray 6 2 3 1 +0 9
7 Buyuksehyr 6 2 2 2 +2 8
8 Denizlispor 6 2 2 2 +2 8
9 Antalyaspor 6 2 2 2 -1 8
10 Ankaragücü 6 2 2 2 -3 8
11 Rizespor 6 2 2 2 -4 8
12 Yeni Malatyaspor 6 2 1 3 +2 7
13 Kasimpasa 6 2 1 3 -1 7
14 Trabzonspor 5 1 3 1 +0 6
15 Besiktas 5 1 2 2 -1 5
16 Goztep 5 1 2 2 -3 5
17 Kayserispor 6 0 3 3 -3 3
18 Genclerbirligi 6 0 2 4 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Trabzonspor Besiktas
Abdülkadir Parmak 🟨
24′
0–1 D. Toköz
own goal
31′
33′
🟨 Dorukhan Toköz
36′
🟨 Necip Uysal
1–1 J. Sosa
A. Parmak
42′
John Mikel Obi 🟨
44′
Hüseyin Türkmen 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 A. Diaby
↦ T. Boyd
2–1 A. Sørloth
A. Nwakaeme
64′
67′
🔁 G. Yalçın
↦ D. Vida
D. Erdoğan 🔁
↦ K. Çörekçi
72′
Majid Hosseini 🟨
75′
75′
🟨 Gökhan Gönül
Uğurcan Çakır 🟨
76′
D. Avdijaj 🔁
↦ A. Parmak
78′
79′
G. Yalçın 2–2
C. Erkin
Filip Novák 🟨
86′
3–2 A. Nwakaeme
U. Çakır
88′
D. Sturridge 🔁
↦ A. Sørloth
89′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Trabzonspor

4-1-4-1
1 U. Çakır G
47 João Pereira D
77 F. Novák D
2 K. Çörekçi M
5 M. Hosseini D
4 H. Türkmen D
12 M. Obi M
8 J. Sosa M
61 A. Parmak M
9 A. Nwakaeme M
11 A. Sørloth F
Bench (10)
21 D. Erdoğan
7 D. Avdijaj
19 D. Sturridge
22 G. Campi
38 A. Canbaz
26 F. Üzüm
90 S. Asan
67 K. Kılınç
33 A. Dursun
16 E. Kardeşler

Coach: Ü. Karaman

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
1 L. Karius G
88 C. Erkin D
77 G. Gönül D
24 D. Vida D
13 A. Hutchinson M
20 N. Uysal D
10 O. Özyakup M
19 G. N'Koudou M
26 D. Toköz M
17 B. Yılmaz F
11 T. Boyd M
Bench (10)
92 A. Diaby
9 G. Yalçın
3 E. Roco
21 M. Oktay
23 Pedro Rebocho
14 O. Çınar
27 J. Lens
5 Douglas Pereira
8 U. Nayir
97 U. Yuvakuran

Coach: A. Avcı

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,21
U
3,73
B
2,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,40
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Palabıyık · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,46 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.