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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola
Sevilla
S U S T T
3–2
Full-time
Sociedad
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
21 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 0
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sevilla 8. · Sociedad 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 7 4 3 0 +6 15
2 Granada 7 4 2 1 +7 14
3 Ath Madrid 7 4 2 1 +3 14
4 Barcelona 7 4 1 2 +6 13
5 Sociedad 6 4 1 1 +6 13
6 Ath Bilbao 7 3 3 1 +4 12
7 Villarreal 7 3 2 2 +7 11
8 Sevilla 6 3 1 2 +2 10
9 Valencia 7 2 3 2 -1 9
10 Valladolid 7 2 3 2 -1 9
11 Eibar 7 2 2 3 +0 8
12 Levante 7 2 2 3 -1 8
13 Osasuna 7 1 5 1 -1 8
14 Alaves 7 2 2 3 -3 8
15 Betis 7 2 2 3 -5 8
16 Getafe 7 1 4 2 -1 7
17 Celta 7 1 3 3 -5 6
18 Espanol 7 1 2 4 -8 5
19 Mallorca 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Leganes 7 0 2 5 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Sociedad
4′
Mikel Oyarzabal 0–1
A. Januzaj
1–1 Nolito
É. Banega
18′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Mikel Merino
↦ Llorente
2–1 L. Ocampos
Navas
47′
55′
🔁 Portu
↦ A. Januzaj
57′
🟨 Martin Ødegaard
Fernando 🟨
59′
Joan Jordán 🔁
↦ Óliver Torres
62′
62′
🔁 A. Isak
↦ Zurutuza
Alejandro Pozo 🔁
↦ L. Ocampos
71′
F. Vázquez 🔁
↦ É. Banega
79′
3–1 F. Vázquez
80′
87′
Portu 3–2
M. Ødegaard
Full-time 3–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,56
B
4,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,94
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.