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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
Heracles
T T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Vitesse
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
0,3
1,8
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,2
+0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
0,3
2,3
Conceded
2,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 16. · Vitesse 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Willem II 4 3 0 1 +2 9
2 Ajax 3 2 1 0 +8 7
3 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 1 0 +6 7
4 Vitesse 3 2 1 0 +5 7
5 Sparta Rotterdam 3 2 1 0 +4 7
6 Utrecht 3 2 1 0 +4 7
7 PSV Eindhoven 3 2 1 0 +4 7
8 Twente 3 1 2 0 +2 5
9 Heerenveen 3 1 1 1 +2 4
10 Groningen 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Feyenoord 3 0 3 0 +0 3
12 VVV Venlo 3 1 0 2 -4 3
13 FC Emmen 4 1 0 3 -5 3
14 Waalwijk 3 0 1 2 -4 1
15 For Sittard 3 0 1 2 -5 1
16 Heracles 3 0 1 2 -6 1
17 Den Haag 3 0 0 3 -5 0
18 Zwolle 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Vitesse
Half-time 0–0
61′
🔁 T. Buitink
↦ T. Matavž
64′
🟨 O. Tannane
66′
B. Linssen 0–1
M. Clark
S. van der Water 🟨
67′
A. Szöke 🔁
↦ J. Konings
74′
D. Van den Buijs 🔁
↦ R. Pröpper
78′
1–1 C. Dessers
80′
81′
🟨 B. Linssen
N. Bakboord 🟨
86′
D. dos Santos 🔁
↦ Mauro Júnior
88′
88′
🔁 O. Darfalou
↦ J. Grot
92′
🔁 J. Lelieveld
↦ M. Clark
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Heracles

1 J. Blaswich
4 R. Pröpper
13 M. Knoester
19 N. Bakboord
3 L. Czyborra
52 A. Merkel
10 Mauro Júnior
22 O. Kiomourtzoglou
9 C. Dessers
11 S. van der Water
25 J. Konings
Bench (9)
17 A. Szöke
6 D. Van den Buijs
24 D. dos Santos
23 M. Rossmann
34 J. Hardeveld
26 K. Bucker
8 T. Bijleveld
16 M. Brouwer
18 J. Drost

Coach: F. Wormuth

Vitesse

22 R. Pasveer
8 V. Karavaev
3 A. Obispo
30 D. Doekhi
5 M. Clark
25 N. Foor
10 R. Bazoer
9 T. Matavž
11 B. Linssen
14 O. Tannane
7 J. Grot
Bench (7)
29 T. Buitink
13 O. Darfalou
2 J. Lelieveld
23 Mukhtar Ali
18 T. Hajek
1 K. Lamprou
36 P. Vroegh

Coach: L. Slutskiy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,23
U ✓
3,86
B
2,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,49
U2,5 ✓
2,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.