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Eredivisie
Referee: Edwin Van de Graaf
Waalwijk
T T U
0–3
Full-time
Den Haag
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,0
4,5
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
2,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,7
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
13 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 3
11 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Waalwijk 15. · Den Haag 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Willem II 4 3 0 1 +2 9
2 Vitesse 4 2 2 0 +5 8
3 Ajax 3 2 1 0 +8 7
4 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 1 0 +6 7
5 Sparta Rotterdam 3 2 1 0 +4 7
6 Utrecht 3 2 1 0 +4 7
7 PSV Eindhoven 3 2 1 0 +4 7
8 Twente 4 1 3 0 +2 6
9 Heerenveen 4 1 2 1 +2 5
10 Groningen 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Feyenoord 3 0 3 0 +0 3
12 VVV Venlo 3 1 0 2 -4 3
13 FC Emmen 4 1 0 3 -5 3
14 Heracles 4 0 2 2 -6 2
15 Waalwijk 3 0 1 2 -4 1
16 For Sittard 3 0 1 2 -5 1
17 Den Haag 3 0 0 3 -5 0
18 Zwolle 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waalwijk Den Haag
12′
🟨 Danny Bakker
19′
⚽ T. Beugelsdijk 0–1
J. Goossens
Half-time 0–1
S. Sow 🔁
↦ D. Maatsen
55′
57′
⚽ T. Necid 0–2
D. Bakker
Sylla Sow 🟨
60′
66′
🔁 T. Goppel
↦ B. Ould-Chikh
D. Seys 🔁
↦ S. Bakari
67′
77′
🔁 W. Kanon
↦ S. Pinas
78′
🔁 D. Malone
↦ J. Goossens
D. Vente 🔁
↦ P. Quasten
79′
83′
⚽ T. Necid 0–3
90′
🟨 Danny Bakker
90′
🟥 Danny Bakker
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Waalwijk

4-3-3
13 K. Heemskerk G
5 P. Quasten D
16 I. van Weert D
4 H. Delcroix D
3 M. Meulensteen D
6 D. Rienstra M
10 S. Spierings M
8 A. Tahiri M
28 S. Bakari F
9 M. Bilate F
11 D. Maatsen F
Bench (10)
19 S. Sow
7 D. Seys
24 D. Vente
25 D. van der Sluys
12 H. Mulder
14 H. Drost
21 L. Daneels
20 K. Vermeulen
22 M. Grim
31 V. Timmers

Coach: F. Grim

Den Haag

4-3-3
22 R. Zwinkels G
8 A. Meijers D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
19 S. Pinas D
27 M. van Ewijk D
10 L. Immers M
11 J. Goossens M
17 D. Bakker M
9 T. Necid F
77 E. Hooi F
7 B. Ould-Chikh F
Bench (10)
26 T. Goppel
5 W. Kanon
2 D. Malone
18 M. Havekotte
16 L. van Kleef
1 L. Koopmans
30 E. Falkenburg
23 P. Cibicki
25 R. Polley
29 M. Kramer

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
🔒
U
3,58
🔒
B ✓
2,76
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,58
🔒
U2,5
2,36
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Edwin Van de Graaf · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.