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Eredivisie
Referee: Rob Dieperink
Vitesse
S U T U S
3–0
Full-time
Zwolle
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 6. · Zwolle 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AZ Alkmaar 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Utrecht 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Ajax 2 1 1 0 +5 4
4 Heerenveen 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 Sparta Rotterdam 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Vitesse 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Twente 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 PSV Eindhoven 2 1 1 0 +2 4
9 Willem II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 VVV Venlo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Groningen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Feyenoord 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Heracles 2 0 1 1 -4 1
14 For Sittard 2 0 1 1 -4 1
15 Den Haag 2 0 0 2 -4 0
16 Zwolle 2 0 0 2 -4 0
17 Waalwijk 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 FC Emmen 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Zwolle
19′
🟨 Zian Flemming
42′
🟨 Thomas Bruns
T. Serero 🔁
↦ M. Bero
43′
45′
🟨 Gustavo Hamer
Half-time 0–0
Bryan Linssen 🟨
51′
1–0 T. Matavž
52′
C. Musonda 🔁
↦ J. Grot
59′
2–0 V. Karavaev
T. Matavž
64′
66′
🔁 J. Westerman
↦ T. Bruns
78′
🔁 S. Elbers
↦ D. Johnsen
3–0 B. Linssen
T. Matavž
80′
81′
🔁 D. Huiberts
↦ Z. Flemming
N. Foor 🔁
↦ O. Tannane
84′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Vitesse

4-4-2
22 R. Pasveer G
8 V. Karavaev D
3 A. Obispo D
30 D. Doekhi D
5 M. Clark D
21 M. Bero M
10 R. Bazoer M
9 T. Matavž F
11 B. Linssen F
14 O. Tannane M
7 J. Grot M
Bench (10)
17 T. Serero
27 C. Musonda
25 N. Foor
18 T. Hajek
36 P. Vroegh
23 Mukhtar Ali
29 T. Buitink
2 J. Lelieveld
1 K. Lamprou
13 O. Darfalou

Coach: L. Slutskiy

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 X. Mous G
23 E. Reijnen D
5 K. Paal D
11 I. Bel Hassani F
20 T. Bruns M
19 R. Dekker D
22 P. Clement M
14 Z. Flemming M
6 G. Hamer D
10 L. Thy F
17 D. Johnsen F
Bench (9)
34 J. Westerman
25 S. Elbers
30 D. Huiberts
31 S. van Wermeskerken
8 C. Leemans
16 M. Zetterer
36 M. Doue
15 S. Kersten
40 M. Hauptmeijer

Coach: J. Stegeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,31
U
5,54
B
8,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,46
U2,5
2,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rob Dieperink · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.