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LaLiga2
Oviedo
T T T U T
2–2
Full-time
Zaragoza
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
57%
33%
Both score Ø 60%
86%
33%
Average goals
2,9
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,9
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

15 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 5
12 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 22. · Zaragoza 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 8 6 1 1 +5 19
2 Almeria 8 5 2 1 +9 17
3 Huesca 8 5 0 3 +3 15
4 Zaragoza 6 4 2 0 +8 14
5 Fuenlabrada 7 4 2 1 +3 14
6 Elche 8 3 3 2 +1 12
7 Albacete 8 4 0 4 -6 12
8 Vallecano 8 2 5 1 +2 11
9 Alcorcon 8 3 2 3 +0 11
10 Ponferradina 8 2 4 2 +2 10
11 Numancia 8 2 4 2 +1 10
12 Girona 8 3 1 4 -2 10
13 Las Palmas 8 2 3 3 -3 9
14 Lugo 7 1 5 1 +0 8
15 Sp Gijon 8 1 5 2 +0 8
16 Tenerife 7 2 2 3 -2 8
17 Santander 8 1 4 3 +0 7
18 Malaga 8 1 4 3 -2 7
19 Extremadura UD 8 1 3 4 -3 6
20 La Coruna 7 1 3 3 -4 6
21 Mirandes 7 1 3 3 -6 6
22 Oviedo 7 0 2 5 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,76
U ✓
3,13
B
2,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,14
U2,5
1,68
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.