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Bundesliga
Referee: S Storks
FC Koln
T T S T T
0–4
Full-time
Hertha
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
2,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-1,7
This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
0,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
80%
100%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
2,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
8 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 16. · Hertha 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 6 4 2 0 +13 14
2 RB Leipzig 6 4 1 1 +8 13
3 Freiburg 6 4 1 1 +8 13
4 Schalke 04 6 4 1 1 +7 13
5 M'gladbach 6 4 1 1 +5 13
6 Leverkusen 6 4 1 1 +4 13
7 Wolfsburg 6 3 3 0 +5 12
8 Dortmund 6 3 2 1 +8 11
9 Ein Frankfurt 6 3 1 2 +1 10
10 Werder Bremen 6 2 1 3 -4 7
11 Hoffenheim 6 1 2 3 -6 5
12 Augsburg 6 1 2 3 -7 5
13 Fortuna Dusseldorf 6 1 1 4 -3 4
14 Union Berlin 6 1 1 4 -6 4
15 Hertha 5 1 1 3 -6 4
16 FC Koln 5 1 0 4 -7 3
17 Mainz 6 1 0 5 -11 3
18 Paderborn 6 0 1 5 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Hertha
K. Schindler 🔁
↦ D. Drexler
6′
23′
J. Dilrosun 0–1
V. Darida
Jorge Meré 🟥
41′
Half-time 0–1
58′
🔁 V. Ibišević
↦ D. Selke
58′
V. Ibišević 0–2
L. Klünter
62′
V. Ibišević 0–3
V. Darida
S. Terodde 🔁
↦ A. Modeste
63′
Simon Terodde 🟨
72′
73′
🔁 D. Lukébakio
↦ J. Dilrosun
82′
🔁 E. Löwen
↦ P. Skjelbred
83′
D. Boyata 0–4
D. Lukébakio
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

FC Koln

4-2-2-2
1 T. Horn G
2 B. Schmitz D
22 Jorge Meré D
33 S. Bornauw D
24 D. Drexler M
6 M. Höger M
30 F. Kainz M
14 J. Hector D
28 E. Skhiri M
27 A. Modeste F
15 J. Córdoba F
Bench (9)
11 K. Schindler
9 S. Terodde
36 N. Hauptmann
21 V. Koziello
7 M. Risse
18 T. Kessler
13 L. Schaub
35 M. Bader
3 L. Sobiech

Coach: A. Beierlorzer

Hertha

4-2-3-1
22 R. Jarstein G
20 D. Boyata D
5 N. Stark D
13 L. Klünter D
17 M. Mittelstädt D
3 P. Skjelbred M
6 V. Darida M
15 M. Grujić M
27 D. Selke F
30 M. Wolf M
16 J. Dilrosun M
Bench (9)
19 V. Ibišević
28 D. Lukébakio
7 E. Löwen
10 O. Duda
1 T. Kraft
8 S. Kalou
11 M. Leckie
9 A. Esswein
4 K. Rekik

Coach: A. Čović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U
3,66
B ✓
3,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,32
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Storks · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.