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2. Bundesliga
St Pauli
T S U S U
2–0
Full-time
Sandhausen
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Sandhausen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
57%
14%
Both score Ø 65%
86%
43%
Average goals
3,1
2,0
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

21 Shots 18
7 Shots on target 4
7 Corners 5
13 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Pauli 10. · Sandhausen 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Stuttgart 8 6 2 0 +7 20
2 Hamburg 8 5 2 1 +12 17
3 Bielefeld 8 4 3 1 +8 15
4 Heidenheim 8 3 3 2 +3 12
5 Sandhausen 7 3 2 2 +2 11
6 Greuther Furth 7 3 2 2 +0 11
7 Karlsruhe 8 3 2 3 -2 11
8 Erzgebirge Aue 7 3 2 2 -2 11
9 Osnabruck 8 3 1 4 +2 10
10 St Pauli 7 2 3 2 +0 9
11 Dresden 7 2 3 2 -1 9
12 Nurnberg 7 2 3 2 -3 9
13 Regensburg 8 2 2 4 +2 8
14 Hannover 7 2 2 3 -2 8
15 Darmstadt 8 1 4 3 -4 7
16 Bochum 8 0 5 3 -4 5
17 Holstein Kiel 7 1 2 4 -6 5
18 Wehen 8 1 1 6 -12 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,38
U
3,41
B
2,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.