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Ligue 1

Referee: J Stinat

Brest

S T T T T

1–1

Full-time

Marseille

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,0

Scored

2,0

4,0

Conceded

3,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%

17 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brest 18. · Marseille 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Lille	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Toulouse	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Lens	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Clermont	2	1	0	1	-3	3
11	Angers	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Nice	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Nantes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Ajaccio	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Auxerre	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Brest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Reims	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Lille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Auxerre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Ajaccio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Reims	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Brest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Reims	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.