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Serie A
Referee: L Massimi
Lazio
T S S U U
2–1
Full-time
Bologna
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%
9 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 1

Match report

Lazio Bologna
Luis Maximiano 🟥
6′
Luis Maximiano ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
6′
I. Provedel 🔁
↦ T. Bašić
8′
23′
🟨 Nicola Sansone
38′
M. Arnautović 0–1
39′
🟨 Marko Arnautović
40′
🟨 Adama Soumaoro
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 K. Bonifazi
↦ N. Sansone
48′
🟨 Adama Soumaoro
48′
🟥 Adama Soumaoro
53′
🟨 Andrea Cambiaso
Luis Alberto 🔁
↦ D. Cataldi
65′
65′
🔁 M. Aebischer
↦ R. Soriano
65′
🔁 D. Kasius
↦ C. Lykogiannis
0–2 L. De Silvestri
own goal
68′
Manuel Lazzari 🟨
71′
74′
🔁 M. Barrow
↦ N. Domínguez
1–2 C. Immobile
S. Milinković-Savić
79′
M. Vecino 🔁
↦ S. Milinković-Savić
83′
M. Cancellieri 🔁
↦ Felipe Anderson
83′
E. Hysaj 🔁
↦ M. Lazzari
84′
86′
🟨 Michel Aebischer
86′
🔁 E. Vignato
↦ A. Cambiaso
Ciro Immobile 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Lazio

4-3-3
1 Luís Maximiano G
29 M. Lazzari D
4 Patric D
13 A. Romagnoli D
77 A. Marušić D
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
32 D. Cataldi M
88 T. Bašić M
7 Felipe Anderson F
17 C. Immobile F
20 M. Zaccagni F
Bench (13)
94 I. Provedel
10 Luis Alberto
5 M. Vecino
11 M. Cancellieri
23 E. Hysaj
34 Mario Gila
27 Raul Moro
50 M. Bertini
16 D. Kamenović
31 M. Adamonis
6 Marcos Antônio
18 L. Romero
26 Ş. Radu

Coach: M. Sarri

Bologna

3-4-1-2
28 Ł. Skorupski G
5 A. Soumaoro D
17 G. Medel D
22 C. Lykogiannis D
29 L. De Silvestri M
30 J. Schouten M
8 N. Domínguez M
50 A. Cambiaso M
21 R. Soriano F
9 M. Arnautović F
10 N. Sansone F
Bench (14)
14 K. Bonifazi
20 M. Aebischer
33 D. Kasius
99 M. Barrow
55 E. Vignato
82 K. Urbański
3 M. Angeli
1 F. Bardi
92 I. Mbaye
66 W. Amey
23 N. Bagnolini
18 A. Raimondo
39 M. Motolese
7 R. Orsolini

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
U
4,30
B
5,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,26
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Massimi · 76 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.