OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Fredrikstad
Ranheim
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Brann
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 | +44 | 51 |
| 2 |
Ranheim
|
19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | +9 | 37 |
| 3 |
Stabaek
|
19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | +16 | 34 |
| 4 |
Sandnes ULF
|
18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 33 |
| 5 |
Raufoss
|
19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | +0 | 31 |
| 6 |
Start
|
18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +16 | 29 |
| 7 |
KFUM Oslo
|
18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +4 | 29 |
| 8 |
Sogndal
|
19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 29 |
| 9 |
Mjondalen
|
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 27 |
| 10 |
Kongsvinger
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | +4 | 23 |
| 11 |
Asane
|
19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -15 | 22 |
| 12 |
Fredrikstad
|
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 21 |
| 13 |
Bryne
|
19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -15 | 16 |
| 14 |
Skeid
|
19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | -17 | 11 |
| 15 |
Stjørdals-Blink
|
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | -22 | 10 |
| 16 |
Grorud
|
19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | -22 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
H. Jensen
M. Nielsen
N. Williams
O. Okeke
Coach: B. Johansen
S. Langås
R. Alte
V. Erlien
Coach: Hugo Pereira
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Asane
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
Stabaek
Start
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
Raufoss
Fredrikstad
Grorud
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.