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Eliteserien
Referee: M Aslam
Tromso
T T S U U
2–1
Full-time
Kristiansund
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Kristiansund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 13%
19%
6%
Points per game
1,1
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
59%
Both score Ø 64%
75%
53%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,8
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
15 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 14. · Kristiansund 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 18 13 3 2 +21 42
2 Bodo/Glimt 18 11 4 3 +28 37
3 Lillestrom 17 11 4 2 +17 37
4 Rosenborg 18 9 7 2 +14 34
5 Viking 18 8 5 5 +7 29
6 Valerenga 17 8 2 7 +3 26
7 Stromsgodset 17 7 4 6 -2 25
8 Haugesund 18 6 4 8 -1 22
9 Sandefjord 18 6 3 9 -8 21
10 Aalesund 18 5 6 7 -8 21
11 Odd 18 6 2 10 -14 20
12 Sarpsborg 08 18 6 1 11 -3 19
13 Ham-Kam 17 3 9 5 -1 18
14 Tromso 16 3 9 4 -7 18
15 Jerv 17 3 2 12 -25 11
16 Kristiansund 17 1 3 13 -21 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Kristiansund
Sakarias Opsahl 🟨
6′
19′
🟨 Sebastian Jarl
1–0 R. Jenssen
J. Tuominen
26′
Kent-Are Antonsen 🟨
38′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 J. Tuominen
A. Mikkelsen
52′
62′
🔁 M. Williamsen
↦ D. Ulvestad
62′
🔁 F. Moumbagna
↦ B. Bye
Eric Kitolano 🟨
66′
L. Nordås 🔁
↦ J. Tuominen
68′
68′
S. Kartum 2–1
F. Moumbagna
F. Winther 🔁
↦ S. Opsahl
69′
L. Nilsen 🔁
↦ W. Kamanzi
74′
Felix Winther 🟨
81′
81′
🔁 A. Askar
↦ B. Willumsson
81′
🔁 I. Annan
↦ T. Gjertsen
83′
🔁 L. Kalludra
↦ S. Kartum
A. Jenssen 🔁
↦ E. Kitolano
85′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Tromso

3-5-2
1 J. Haugaard G
28 C. Psyché D
4 J. Gundersen D
19 N. Vesterlund M
14 W. Kamanzi M
11 R. Jenssen M
8 K. Antonsen D
17 E. Kitolano M
22 S. Opsahl M
15 J. Tuominen F
10 A. Mikkelsen F
Bench (9)
9 L. Nordås
7 F. Winther
25 L. Nilsen
5 A. Jenssen
23 R. Norheim
12 S. Thomas
26 I. Vik
20 C. Øyvann
18 E. Aarflot

Coach: G. Helstrup

Kristiansund

3-4-1-2
1 S. McDermott G
5 D. Ulvestad D
6 A. Hopmark D
2 S. Nilsen
21 A. Diop M
8 S. Kartum F
14 J. Isaksen M
18 S. Jarl D
13 B. Bye F
7 T. Gjertsen M
17 B. Willumsson F
Bench (7)
26 M. Williamsen
29 F. Moumbagna
23 A. Askar
25 I. Annan
10 L. Kalludra
15 M. Rakneberg
30 M. Mbaye

Coach: C. Michelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Aslam · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.