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Allsvenskan
Referee: A Ladebäck
Malmo FF
S T S T U
3–1
Full-time
Sundsvall
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Sundsvall
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,5
This season — Allsvenskan · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 36%
53%
18%
Points per game
1,8
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
47%
59%
Both score Ø 47%
35%
59%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
0,9
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

70% Possession 30%
28 Shots 2
5 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malmo FF 6. · Sundsvall 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hacken 17 10 5 2 +17 35
2 Djurgarden 17 10 4 3 +24 34
3 Hammarby 17 10 3 4 +21 33
4 AIK 17 9 4 4 +4 31
5 Goteborg 17 9 3 5 +9 30
6 Malmo FF 17 9 3 5 +8 30
7 Kalmar 17 8 3 6 +5 27
8 Mjallby 17 7 6 4 +3 27
9 Sirius 18 7 4 7 -5 25
10 Elfsborg 17 5 7 5 +7 22
11 Norrkoping 17 5 4 8 -3 19
12 Varberg 17 5 3 9 -16 18
13 Varnamo 17 4 5 8 -10 17
14 Helsingborg 18 2 5 11 -16 11
15 Degerfors 17 3 2 12 -21 11
16 Sundsvall 17 3 1 13 -27 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malmo FF Sundsvall
1–0 V. Birmančević
M. Zeidan
39′
2–0 I. Kiese Thelin
E. Rakip
44′
Half-time 2–0
D. Hadžikadunić 🔁
↦ L. Nielsen
46′
46′
🔁 S. Ylätupa
↦ P. Silfwer
46′
🔁 L. Nåvik
↦ P. Makrillos
3–0 I. Kiese Thelin
E. Larsson
47′
A. Christiansen 🔁
↦ M. Zeidan
62′
68′
S. Ylätupa 3–1
J. Knudsen 🔁
↦ F. Beijmo
73′
P. Sejdiu 🔁
↦ M. Turay
73′
76′
🔁 A. Larsson
↦ R. Damus
H. Larsson 🔁
↦ E. Rakip
87′
92′
🔁 T. Stenshagen
↦ J. Corona
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Malmo FF

4-3-3
27 J. Dahlin G
4 N. Moisander D
2 E. Larsson D
24 L. Nielsen D
14 F. Beijmo D
8 S. Peña M
7 E. Rakip M
20 M. Zeidan M
19 V. Birmančević F
9 I. Kiese Thelin F
33 M. Turay F
Bench (7)
21 D. Hadžikadunić
10 A. Christiansen
3 J. Knudsen
36 P. Sejdiu
31 H. Larsson
11 O. Toivonen
30 I. Diawara

Coach: A. Georgson

Sundsvall

5-3-2
35 O. Jonsson G
22 R. Lindkvist D
4 A. Blomqvist D
5 D. Olsson D
3 F. Lasso D
30 J. Corona D
8 P. Silfwer M
6 P. Makrillos M
14 P. Pichkah M
21 P. Engblom F
12 R. Damus F
Bench (7)
11 S. Ylätupa
23 L. Nåvik
17 A. Larsson
19 T. Stenshagen
34 G. Molin
2 S. Davis
18 Y. Shino

Coach: B. Clarhaut

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Ladebäck · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.