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Ligue 1

Referee: A Gautier

Marseille

S S T S S

0–3

Full-time

Lyon

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,3

4,0

Scored

2,2

2,7

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 49%

56%

41%

Points per game

1,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

41%

50%

Both score Ø 61%

53%

68%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

1,6

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

9 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 2. · Lyon 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	35	24	7	4	+45	79
2	Marseille	34	19	8	7	+23	65
3	Rennes	35	19	5	11	+41	62
4	Monaco	35	18	8	9	+22	62
5	Nice	35	18	7	10	+15	61
6	Strasbourg	35	15	12	8	+19	57
7	Lens	35	15	10	10	+11	55
8	Lyon	34	14	11	9	+11	53
9	Nantes	35	14	9	12	+7	51
10	Lille	35	13	12	10	-1	51
11	Brest	35	13	9	13	-3	48
12	Reims	35	10	13	12	+0	43
13	Montpellier	35	12	7	16	-5	43
14	Troyes	35	9	9	17	-14	36
15	Angers	35	8	11	16	-15	35
16	Lorient	35	8	10	17	-25	34
17	Clermont	35	8	9	18	-30	33
18	St Etienne	35	7	10	18	-32	31
19	Bordeaux	35	5	12	18	-38	27
20	Metz	35	4	13	18	-31	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	15	2	0	+32	47
2	Rennes	18	13	1	4	+35	40
3	Monaco	18	11	4	3	+20	37
4	Strasbourg	18	10	5	3	+17	35
5	Lyon	18	10	5	3	+16	35
6	Lens	18	9	6	3	+15	33
7	Nantes	17	10	3	4	+12	33
8	Nice	17	9	4	4	+6	31
9	Marseille	17	8	5	4	+10	29
10	Lille	17	7	7	3	+3	28
11	Montpellier	18	7	5	6	+5	26
12	Brest	17	7	4	6	+2	25
13	Lorient	17	6	5	6	+1	23
14	Troyes	18	5	7	6	+2	22
15	Reims	17	5	6	6	+4	21
16	Angers	17	6	2	9	-5	20
17	St Etienne	18	4	6	8	-13	18
18	Bordeaux	18	3	6	9	-8	15
19	Clermont	17	3	6	8	-11	15
20	Metz	17	1	7	9	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	17	11	3	3	+13	36
2	Paris SG	18	9	5	4	+13	32
3	Nice	18	9	3	6	+9	30
4	Monaco	17	7	4	6	+2	25
5	Lille	18	6	5	7	-4	23
6	Brest	18	6	5	7	-5	23
7	Rennes	17	6	4	7	+6	22
8	Strasbourg	17	5	7	5	+2	22
9	Lens	17	6	4	7	-4	22
10	Reims	18	5	7	6	-4	22
11	Nantes	18	4	6	8	-5	18
12	Lyon	16	4	6	6	-5	18
13	Clermont	18	5	3	10	-19	18
14	Montpellier	17	5	2	10	-10	17
15	Angers	18	2	9	7	-10	15
16	Metz	18	3	6	9	-19	15
17	Troyes	17	4	2	11	-16	14
18	St Etienne	17	3	4	10	-19	13
19	Bordeaux	17	2	6	9	-30	12
20	Lorient	18	2	5	11	-26	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.