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Serie A
Referee: S Sozza
Salernitana
S U U T T
0–1
Full-time
Roma
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Salernitana Roma
Lassana Coulibaly 🟨
28′
33′
B. Cristante 0–1
Norbert Gyömbér 🟨
39′
Grīgorīs Kastanos 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
48′
🟨 Chris Smalling
F. Ribéry 🔁
↦ G. Kastanos
54′
D. Valencia 🔁
↦ E. Botheim
62′
J. Sambia 🔁
↦ P. Mazzocchi
62′
68′
🔁 N. Matić
↦ T. Abraham
72′
🟨 Nemanja Matić
J. Kristoffersen 🔁
↦ L. Coulibaly
73′
79′
🔁 G. Wijnaldum
↦ N. Zaniolo
89′
🔁 S. El Shaarawy
↦ P. Dybala
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Salernitana

3-5-2
33 L. Sepe G
2 D. Bronn D
23 N. Gyömbér D
17 F. Fazio D
87 A. Candreva M
20 G. Kastanos M
18 L. Coulibaly M
10 T. Vilhena M
30 P. Mazzocchi M
9 F. Bonazzoli F
11 E. Botheim F
Bench (14)
7 F. Ribéry
14 D. Valencia
6 J. Sambia
19 J. Kristoffersen
35 A. Moțoc
24 W. Kechrida
16 I. Radovanović
39 A. Iervolino
98 L. Pirola
12 A. Micai
28 L. Capezzi
3 D. Bradarić
5 F. Veseli
72 A. Sorrentino

Coach: D. Nicola

Roma

3-4-2-1
1 Rui Patrício G
23 G. Mancini D
6 C. Smalling D
3 Ibañez D
2 R. Karsdorp M
7 L. Pellegrini M
4 B. Cristante M
37 L. Spinazzola M
21 P. Dybala F
22 N. Zaniolo F
9 T. Abraham F
Bench (13)
8 N. Matić
25 G. Wijnaldum
92 S. El Shaarawy
24 M. Kumbulla
14 E. Shomurodov
52 E. Bove
63 P. Boer
64 F. Afena-Gyan
99 M. Svilar
19 Z. Çelik
65 F. Tripi
59 N. Zalewski
17 M. Viña

Coach: José Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,42
U
4,57
B ✓
1,49
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Sozza · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.