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Ligue 1
Referee: J Brisard
Marseille
S T S T S
4–1
Full-time
Reims
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 Lille 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Montpellier 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Lens 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Lyon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Monaco 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Lorient 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Toulouse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Nice 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Angers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Nantes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Brest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Ajaccio 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Strasbourg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Rennes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Auxerre 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Clermont 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Apr -22 Reims – Marseille 0–1 22. Dec -21 Marseille – Reims 1–1 23. Apr -21 Reims – Marseille 1–3 19. Dec -20 Marseille – Reims 1–1 10. Aug -19 Marseille – Reims 0–2

Match report

Marseille Reims
0–1 W. Faes ⚽
own goal
13′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Nuno Tavares ⚽
L. Balerdi
46′
46′
🔁 K. Doumbia
↦ A. Zeneli
Samuel Gigot 🟨
59′
L. Suárez 🔁
↦ A. Milik
62′
J. Veretout 🔁
↦ C. Ünder
62′
64′
🔁 F. Balogun
↦ E. Touré
2–1 L. Suárez ⚽
75′
C. Bakambu 🔁
↦ M. Guendouzi
77′
D. Payet 🔁
↦ Gerson
77′
77′
🔁 A. Flips
↦ A. Gravillon
80′
🔁 M. Adeline
↦ M. Munetsi
S. Kolašinac 🔁
↦ J. Clauss
83′
84′
⚽ F. Balogun 2–2
3–2 L. Suárez ⚽
C. Bakambu
94′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Marseille

3-4-2-1
36 Rubén Blanco G
99 C. Mbemba D
4 S. Gigot D
5 L. Balerdi D
7 J. Clauss M
21 V. Rongier M
6 M. Guendouzi M
30 Nuno Tavares M
17 C. Ünder F
8 Gerson F
9 A. Milik F
Bench (9)
11 L. Suárez
27 J. Veretout
13 C. Bakambu
10 D. Payet
23 S. Kolašinac
18 S. Touré
29 Pol Lirola
1 S. Ngapandouetnbu
42 Y. Said M'Madi

Coach: I. Tudor

Reims

4-3-3
1 P. Pentz G
6 A. Gravillon D
2 W. Faes D
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
28 B. Locko D
15 M. Munetsi M
24 E. Agbadou M
21 A. Matusiwa M
19 M. van Bergen F
7 E. Touré F
10 A. Zeneli F
Bench (9)
3 K. Doumbia
29 F. Balogun
70 A. Flips
18 M. Adeline
41 I. Diakité
30 N. Penneteau
65 M. Mbow
48 S. Koeberle
26 D. Lopy

Coach: Óscar García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,57
🔒
U
4,07
🔒
B
6,05
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,92
🔒
U2,5
1,89
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.