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Premier League

Referee: A Taylor

Chelsea

U S U S S

2–2

Full-time

Tottenham

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Tottenham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,8

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+2,3

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

5,0

Scored

1,0

4,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%

16 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chelsea 8. · Tottenham 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Brentford	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Leeds	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Nott'm Forest	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Bournemouth	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Fulham	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Wolves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Leicester	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Everton	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Man United	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Man United	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.