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Ligue 1
Referee: A Gautier
Nice
T T S U T
3–1
Full-time
Angers
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,2
Scored
0,8
0,3
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 43%
36%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
64%
43%
Both score Ø 54%
79%
29%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
10 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
0 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nice 15. · Angers 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 14 11 0 3 +22 33
2 Marseille 15 8 4 3 +2 28
3 Angers 14 7 3 4 +2 24
4 Lyon 15 6 4 5 +9 22
5 Bordeaux 14 6 4 4 +4 22
6 St Etienne 14 6 4 4 -2 22
7 Montpellier 14 5 5 4 +4 20
8 Reims 14 5 5 4 +3 20
9 Nantes 14 6 2 6 -1 20
10 Lille 14 5 4 5 +3 19
11 Rennes 13 5 3 5 +2 18
12 Strasbourg 15 5 3 7 +0 18
13 Monaco 14 5 3 6 -3 18
14 Brest 15 4 6 5 -3 18
15 Nice 14 5 2 7 -4 17
16 Amiens 14 4 4 6 -7 16
17 Dijon 14 4 3 7 -6 15
18 Metz 14 3 5 6 -7 14
19 Toulouse 14 3 3 8 -12 12
20 Nimes 13 2 5 6 -6 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nice Angers
Dante 🟨
7′
22′
A. Fulgini 0–1
R. Thomas
1–1 A. Lusamba
M. Maolida
39′
45′
🟨 Sada Thioub
Half-time 2–1
2–1 M. Maolida
P. Lees Melou
53′
57′
🔁 P. Capelle
↦ A. Bobichon
57′
🔁 R. Alioui
↦ Mathias Lage
H. Boudaoui 🔁
↦ A. Ounas
64′
Kasper Dolberg 🟨
75′
R. Coly 🔁
↦ S. NSoki
79′
A. Claude Maurice 🔁
↦ M. Maolida
87′
3–1 K. Dolberg
A. Lusamba
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Nice

4-3-3
40 W. Benítez G
4 Dante D
23 M. Sarr D
2 S. N'Soki D
20 Y. Atal D
25 W. Cyprien M
8 P. Lees Melou M
22 A. Lusamba M
10 A. Ounas F
9 K. Dolberg F
7 M. Maolida F
Bench (7)
28 H. Boudaoui
12 R. Coly
18 A. Claude Maurice
16 Y. Clementia
21 Danilo Barbosa
3 G. Lloris
14 I. Ganago

Coach: P. Vieira

Angers

4-1-4-1
16 L. Butelle G
4 M. Pavlović D
24 R. Thomas D
25 A. Bamba D
26 T. Pellenard D
5 T. Mangani M
10 A. Fulgini M
18 B. Santamaría M
23 A. Bobichon M
27 Mathias Lage M
20 S. Thioub F
Bench (7)
15 P. Capelle
7 R. Alioui
6 V. Pajot
30 D. Petković
32 J. Mbock
12 Z. Ould Khaled
29 V. Manceau

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,59
U
3,03
B
2,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,41
U2,5
1,56
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Gautier · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.