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Ligue 1

Referee: F Schneider

Nice

T T U S S

1–1

Full-time

Lille

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,3

0,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 64%

57%

71%

Points per game

1,9

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

71%

29%

Both score Ø 43%

57%

29%

Average goals

2,7

2,1

Scored

1,4

1,9

Conceded

1,3

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

8 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

1 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nice 5. · Lille 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	6	0	2	+17	18
2	Lille	7	5	2	0	+11	17
3	Rennes	8	4	3	1	+6	15
4	Marseille	8	4	3	1	+3	15
5	Nice	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Lens	7	4	1	2	+0	13
7	Angers	8	4	1	3	-6	13
8	Bordeaux	8	3	3	2	+4	12
9	Metz	8	3	2	3	+2	11
10	Monaco	7	3	2	2	+1	11
11	Montpellier	8	3	2	3	+0	11
12	Lyon	7	2	4	1	+3	10
13	St Etienne	8	3	1	4	-3	10
14	Brest	8	3	0	5	-7	9
15	Nantes	7	2	2	3	-1	8
16	Nimes	8	2	2	4	-4	8
17	Lorient	8	2	1	5	-3	7
18	Strasbourg	8	2	0	6	-7	6
19	Reims	8	1	2	5	-3	5
20	Dijon	8	0	2	6	-14	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Paris SG	4	3	0	1	+9	9
3	Bordeaux	5	2	3	0	+5	9
4	Metz	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Lens	3	3	0	0	+4	9
6	Montpellier	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	Monaco	4	2	2	0	+2	8
8	Nantes	3	2	1	0	+3	7
9	Rennes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Angers	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	St Etienne	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Nice	3	2	0	1	-1	6
13	Brest	4	2	0	2	-2	6
14	Lyon	3	1	2	0	+3	5
15	Marseille	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Lorient	4	1	1	2	+0	4
17	Nimes	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Strasbourg	4	1	0	3	-5	3
19	Dijon	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Reims	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Paris SG	4	3	0	1	+8	9
3	Rennes	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Lille	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Nice	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Angers	4	2	0	2	-6	6
7	Reims	5	1	2	2	+2	5
8	Lyon	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	St Etienne	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Nimes	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Lens	4	1	1	2	-4	4
12	Bordeaux	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Monaco	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Strasbourg	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Lorient	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Brest	4	1	0	3	-5	3
17	Montpellier	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Metz	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Nantes	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Dijon	4	0	0	4	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.