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Ligue 1

Referee: F Schneider

St Etienne

S S U S S

0–0

Full-time

Montpellier

S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 42%

46%

38%

Points per game

1,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

46%

31%

Both score Ø 42%

46%

38%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

9 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 5

1 Offside 5

18 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 5. · Montpellier 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	11	0	3	+22	33
2	Angers	14	7	3	4	+2	24
3	Bordeaux	14	6	4	4	+4	22
4	Marseille	13	6	4	3	-1	22
5	St Etienne	13	6	3	4	-2	21
6	Reims	14	5	5	4	+3	20
7	Nantes	14	6	2	6	-1	20
8	Lyon	14	5	4	5	+8	19
9	Montpellier	13	5	4	4	+4	19
10	Lille	14	5	4	5	+3	19
11	Rennes	13	5	3	5	+2	18
12	Strasbourg	14	5	3	6	+1	18
13	Brest	14	4	6	4	-2	18
14	Monaco	14	5	3	6	-3	18
15	Nice	14	5	2	7	-4	17
16	Amiens	14	4	4	6	-7	16
17	Dijon	14	4	3	7	-6	15
18	Metz	14	3	5	6	-7	14
19	Toulouse	13	3	3	7	-10	12
20	Nimes	13	2	5	6	-6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	8	6	1	1	+11	19
2	Paris SG	7	6	0	1	+16	18
3	Lille	7	5	2	0	+10	17
4	Montpellier	7	5	1	1	+7	16
5	Strasbourg	7	4	2	1	+4	14
6	Marseille	7	4	2	1	+3	14
7	Brest	8	3	4	1	+4	13
8	Monaco	7	4	1	2	+3	13
9	Nantes	7	4	1	2	+2	13
10	Lyon	7	3	2	2	+7	11
11	Bordeaux	7	3	2	2	+3	11
12	Nice	7	3	2	2	+0	11
13	Dijon	7	3	2	2	+0	11
14	Rennes	6	3	1	2	+2	10
15	Reims	7	2	4	1	+2	10
16	Amiens	7	3	1	3	-3	10
17	Metz	7	2	3	2	+1	9
18	St Etienne	6	2	3	1	+1	9
19	Toulouse	6	3	0	3	-1	9
20	Nimes	5	2	1	2	+2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	5	0	2	+6	15
2	St Etienne	7	4	0	3	-3	12
3	Bordeaux	7	3	2	2	+1	11
4	Reims	7	3	1	3	+1	10
5	Lyon	7	2	2	3	+1	8
6	Rennes	7	2	2	3	+0	8
7	Marseille	6	2	2	2	-4	8
8	Nantes	7	2	1	4	-3	7
9	Amiens	7	1	3	3	-4	6
10	Nice	7	2	0	5	-4	6
11	Brest	6	1	2	3	-6	5
12	Monaco	7	1	2	4	-6	5
13	Metz	7	1	2	4	-8	5
14	Angers	6	1	2	3	-9	5
15	Strasbourg	7	1	1	5	-3	4
16	Dijon	7	1	1	5	-6	4
17	Nimes	8	0	4	4	-8	4
18	Montpellier	6	0	3	3	-3	3
19	Toulouse	7	0	3	4	-9	3
20	Lille	7	0	2	5	-7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.