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Ligue 1
Referee: M Lesage
Nimes
T T T S T
2–4
Full-time
Rennes
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

45% Possession 55%
17 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nimes 9. · Rennes 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lille 3 2 1 0 +2 7
2 St Etienne 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Nice 3 2 0 1 +1 6
4 Bordeaux 3 1 2 0 +2 5
5 Lyon 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Monaco 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Rennes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Nantes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Nimes 2 1 0 1 +3 3
10 Montpellier 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Lorient 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Lens 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Angers 2 1 0 1 -1 3
15 Reims 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Paris SG 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Metz 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Dijon 2 0 0 2 -4 0
19 Brest 2 0 0 2 -5 0
20 Strasbourg 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nimes Rennes
12′
S. Guirassy 0–1
Raphinha
27′
🟨 Faitout Maouassa
1–1 A. Cubas
36′
39′
S. Guirassy 1–2
F. Tait
Half-time 1–2
S. Alakouch 🔁
↦ R. Philippoteaux
46′
Kevin Denkey 🟨
50′
2–2 Z. Ferhat
B. Meling
55′
M. Koné 🔁
↦ K. Denkey
56′
60′
🟨 Eduardo Camavinga
61′
🟨 Steven​ N'Zonzi
63′
🔁 B. Bourigeaud
↦ E. Camavinga
Renaud Ripart 🟨
71′
72′
N. Aguerd 2–3
B. Bourigeaud
79′
🟨 Benjamin Bourigeaud
79′
🔁 A. Hunou
↦ S. Guirassy
L. Fomba 🔁
↦ L. Deaux
80′
N. Roux 🔁
↦ Y. Benrahou
80′
A. Briançon 🔁
↦ S. Alakouch
80′
80′
🔁 B. Soppy
↦ H. Traoré
80′
🔁 R. Del Castillo
↦ F. Tait
85′
🟨 Damien Da Silva
88′
🔁 Y. Gboho
↦ Raphinha
90′
🟨 Romain Salin
97′
B. Bourigeaud 2–4
R. Del Castillo
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Nimes

4-2-3-1
30 B. Reynet G
5 L. Landre D
4 P. Martinez D
3 B. Meling D
8 L. Deaux M
10 Z. Ferhat M
7 R. Philippoteaux M
18 A. Cubas M
22 Y. Benrahou M
20 R. Ripart D
27 K. Denkey F
Bench (9)
29 S. Alakouch
28 M. Koné
12 L. Fomba
25 N. Roux
23 A. Briançon
26 F. Miguel
15 G. Paquiez
16 L. Dias
6 S. Sarr

Coach: J. Arpinon

Rennes

4-3-3
1 R. Salin G
3 D. Da Silva D
27 H. Traoré D
6 N. Aguerd D
15 S. Nzonzi M
28 J. Martin M
20 F. Tait F
17 F. Maouassa D
10 E. Camavinga M
18 S. Guirassy F
7 Raphinha F
Bench (9)
14 B. Bourigeaud
23 A. Hunou
34 B. Soppy
22 R. Del Castillo
19 Y. Gboho
33 G. Rutter
31 A. Truffert
30 P. Bonet
26 J. Gelin

Coach: J. Stéphan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,29
U
3,24
B ✓
2,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,21
U2,5
1,67
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.