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Ligue 1
Referee: Olivier Thual
Metz
U T S U T
1–2
Full-time
Angers
S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 20%
17%
23%
Points per game
0,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
54%
43%
Both score Ø 53%
51%
54%
Average goals
2,9
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
8 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 7
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Metz 20. · Angers 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 36 29 5 2 +81 92
2 Lyon 36 22 9 5 +44 75
3 Monaco 35 21 8 6 +35 71
4 Marseille 35 20 10 5 +31 70
5 St Etienne 36 14 10 12 -7 52
6 Rennes 35 14 9 12 +3 51
7 Nice 35 14 9 12 +0 51
8 Bordeaux 36 14 7 15 -1 49
9 Montpellier 35 10 16 9 +1 46
10 Nantes 35 12 10 13 -6 46
11 Guingamp 35 12 10 13 -8 46
12 Amiens 36 11 9 16 -6 42
13 Dijon 35 11 9 15 -20 42
14 Angers 35 8 14 13 -8 38
15 Caen 35 10 7 18 -21 37
16 Strasbourg 35 8 11 16 -22 35
17 Toulouse 35 8 10 17 -14 34
18 Lille 35 8 8 19 -23 32
19 Troyes 36 9 5 22 -24 32
20 Metz 35 6 8 21 -35 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Metz Angers
1–0 F. Mollet
E. Rivière
20′
Half-time 1–0
G. Poblete 🔁
↦ G. Mandjeck
71′
76′
🔁 L. Coulibaly
↦ P. Oniangué
76′
🔁 T. Touré
↦ P. Capelle
Florent Mollet 🟨
82′
D. Lempereur 🔁
↦ J. Palmieri
85′
85′
🔁 W. Kanga
↦ B. Santamaría
92′
M. Pavlović 1–1
I. Niane 🔁
↦ F. Mollet
94′
94′
F. Tait 1–2
T. Touré
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Metz

4-2-3-1
16 E. Kawashima
20 J. Palmieri D
28 J. Rivierez D
21 M. Niakhate D
24 R. Cohade M
4 G. Mandjeck M
17 M. Dossevi M
19 F. Mollet M
15 V. Selimovic D
29 E. Rivière F
9 N. Roux F
Bench (7)
5 G. Poblete
33 D. Lempereur
7 I. Niane
11 O. N'Guette
1 T. Didillon
34 Y. Maziz
22 F. Boulaya

Coach: F. Hantz

Angers

4-1-4-1
16 L. Butelle G
4 M. Pavlović D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
25 A. Bamba D
5 T. Mangani M
6 P. Oniangué M
15 P. Capelle M
20 F. Tait M
18 B. Santamaría M
7 K. Toko Ekambi F
Bench (7)
12 L. Coulibaly
27 T. Touré
11 W. Kanga
17 F. Doré
19 B. Guillaume
1 M. Michel
24 R. Thomas

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Olivier Thual · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.