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Ligue 1
Referee: Olivier Thual
Monaco
S S U S S
5–0
Full-time
Metz
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Metz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
2,7
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 24/23 matches
Win Ø 53%
71%
35%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
83%
57%
Both score Ø 42%
54%
30%
Average goals
3,9
2,7
Scored
2,9
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

62% Possession 38%
26 Shots 5
13 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
8 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 1. · Metz 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Monaco 24 17 4 3 +47 55
2 Paris SG 25 17 4 4 +32 55
3 Nice 24 15 7 2 +21 52
4 Lyon 24 13 1 10 +16 40
5 St Etienne 24 9 9 6 +7 36
6 Marseille 24 10 6 8 +3 36
7 Bordeaux 25 9 9 7 -2 36
8 Guingamp 25 9 7 9 +0 34
9 Rennes 24 8 8 8 -4 32
10 Toulouse 24 8 6 10 +0 30
11 Metz 23 8 5 10 -15 29
12 Nancy 23 7 6 10 -11 27
13 Lille 24 7 5 12 -8 26
14 Montpellier 24 6 8 10 -9 26
15 Nantes 23 7 5 11 -16 26
16 Caen 23 7 4 12 -15 25
17 Dijon 24 5 9 10 -5 24
18 Angers 24 6 6 12 -13 24
19 Bastia 23 5 7 11 -8 22
20 Lorient 24 6 4 14 -20 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Oct -16 Metz – Monaco 0–7

Match report

Monaco Metz
1–0 K. Mbappe Lottin
R. Falcao
7′
2–0 R. Falcao
A. Touré
10′
3–0 K. Mbappe Lottin
Fabinho
20′
Half-time 4–0
4–0 K. Mbappe Lottin
Boschilia
50′
5–0 R. Falcao
B. Mendy
55′
Benjamin Mendy 🟨
61′
63′
🟨 Florent Mollet
A. Diallo 🔁
↦ B. Mendy
64′
66′
🟨 Jonathan Rivierez
N. Dirar 🔁
↦ Boschilia
69′
71′
🔁 O. N'Guette
↦ R. Cohade
77′
🟨 Franck Signorino
I. Cardona 🔁
↦ R. Falcao
81′
85′
🔁 C. Philipps
↦ C. Doukouré
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Monaco

4-4-2
1 D. Subašić G
24 A. Raggi D
25 K. Glik D
23 B. Mendy D
38 A. Touré D
2 Fabinho M
8 João Moutinho M
26 Boschilia F
10 Bernardo Silva M
9 R. Falcao F
29 K. Mbappe Lottin F
Bench (7)
34 A. Diallo
7 N. Dirar
33 I. Cardona
14 T. Bakayoko
16 M. De Sanctis
18 V. Germain
27 T. Lemar

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Metz

4-2-3-1
1 T. Didillon G
13 F. Signorino D
5 G. Milán D
2 F. Diagne D
3 J. Rivierez D
6 S. Falette D
24 R. Cohade M
10 C. Doukouré M
19 F. Mollet M
26 I. Sarr M
9 M. Erdinç F
Bench (7)
11 O. N'Guette
23 C. Philipps
8 Y. Jouffre
16 E. Kawashima
18 C. Diabaté
25 Iván
32 B. Assou-Ekotto

Coach: P. Hinschberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Olivier Thual · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.