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Ligue 1
Referee: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj
Metz
S U T T T
0–4
Full-time
Bordeaux
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 29%
16%
41%
Points per game
0,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
54%
46%
Both score Ø 49%
51%
46%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

40% Possession 60%
7 Shots 14
0 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Metz 20. · Bordeaux 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 37 29 5 3 +79 92
2 Monaco 37 23 8 6 +37 77
3 Lyon 37 22 9 6 +43 75
4 Marseille 37 21 11 5 +32 74
5 Rennes 37 16 9 12 +6 57
6 Nice 37 15 9 13 +2 54
7 Bordeaux 37 15 7 15 +1 52
8 St Etienne 37 14 10 13 -8 52
9 Montpellier 37 11 17 9 +3 50
10 Nantes 37 13 10 14 -6 49
11 Guingamp 37 12 11 14 -10 47
12 Amiens 37 12 9 16 -4 45
13 Dijon 37 12 9 16 -19 45
14 Angers 37 9 14 14 -9 41
15 Lille 37 10 8 19 -21 38
16 Strasbourg 37 9 11 17 -22 38
17 Caen 37 10 7 20 -25 37
18 Toulouse 37 8 10 19 -17 34
19 Troyes 37 9 6 22 -24 33
20 Metz 37 6 8 23 -38 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.