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Ligue 1
Referee: Francois Letexier
Metz
S U T T T
0–1
Full-time
Monaco
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
0,5
3,5
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 22
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 6
5 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Metz 17. · Monaco 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Monaco 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Marseille 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 St Etienne 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Angers 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Bordeaux 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Troyes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Toulouse 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Lille 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Montpellier 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Strasbourg 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Guingamp 2 1 0 1 -1 3
14 Rennes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Nice 2 0 0 2 -2 0
16 Caen 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Metz 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Amiens 2 0 0 2 -4 0
19 Nantes 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Dijon 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Metz Monaco
Gerónimo Poblete 🟨
21′
37′
🟨 Jorge
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 G. Carrillo
↦ Rony Lopes
Jonathan Rivierez 🟨
64′
66′
🔁 R. Ghezzal
↦ A. Diakhaby
M. Udol 🔁
↦ A. Jallow
72′
I. Niane 🔁
↦ N. Roux
76′
G. Hein 🔁
↦ Y. Jouffre
78′
78′
R. Falcao 0–1
R. Ghezzal
90′
🔁 Y. Tielemans
↦ R. Falcao
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Metz

4-2-3-1
1 T. Didillon G
32 B. Assou-Ekotto D
3 F. Diagne D
28 J. Rivierez D
21 M. Niakhate D
24 R. Cohade M
8 Y. Jouffre M
5 G. Poblete M
26 Cafú M
9 N. Roux F
13 A. Jallow M
Bench (7)
12 M. Udol
14 I. Niane
7 G. Hein
16 E. Kawashima
25 I. Balliu
19 F. Mollet
23 C. Philipps

Coach: P. Hinschberger

Monaco

4-4-2
1 D. Subašić G
25 K. Glik D
19 D. Sidibé D
5 Jemerson D
6 Jorge D
8 João Moutinho M
27 T. Lemar M
20 Rony Lopes M
2 Fabinho M
9 R. Falcao F
15 A. Diakhaby F
Bench (7)
11 G. Carrillo
7 R. Ghezzal
17 Y. Tielemans
16 D. Benaglio
34 M. Sylla
18 S. Meïté
4 T. Kongolo

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Francois Letexier · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.