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Serie A

Referee: P Giacomelli

Juventus

T U S S T

3–1

Full-time

Parma

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

4,3

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 34%

58%

10%

Points per game

2,0

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

55%

68%

Both score Ø 57%

58%

55%

Average goals

2,9

3,1

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,9

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

64% Possession 36%

14 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Juventus 4. · Parma 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	31	23	6	2	+42	75
2	Milan	32	20	6	6	+22	66
3	Atalanta	31	19	7	5	+34	64
4	Juventus	31	18	8	5	+33	62
5	Napoli	31	19	3	9	+31	60
6	Lazio	30	18	4	8	+10	58
7	Roma	31	16	6	9	+8	54
8	Sassuolo	32	13	10	9	+4	49
9	Verona	32	11	8	13	+0	41
10	Sampdoria	31	11	6	14	-4	39
11	Bologna	31	10	7	14	-4	37
12	Udinese	31	9	9	13	-7	36
13	Fiorentina	32	8	9	15	-12	33
14	Genoa	31	7	11	13	-13	32
15	Spezia	31	8	8	15	-18	32
16	Torino	30	6	12	12	-8	30
17	Benevento	31	7	9	15	-27	30
18	Cagliari	31	6	7	18	-19	25
19	Parma	31	3	11	17	-31	20
20	Crotone	31	4	3	24	-41	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	15	13	1	1	+24	40
2	Juventus	16	12	2	2	+22	38
3	Roma	16	11	3	2	+17	36
4	Atalanta	16	10	3	3	+20	33
5	Napoli	15	10	2	3	+23	32
6	Lazio	15	10	2	3	+8	32
7	Milan	17	7	5	5	+5	26
8	Bologna	15	7	3	5	+5	24
9	Sampdoria	16	7	2	7	+1	23
10	Sassuolo	15	5	7	3	+3	22
11	Verona	16	6	3	7	+0	21
12	Fiorentina	16	5	5	6	+0	20
13	Genoa	15	4	6	5	-1	18
14	Udinese	15	5	3	7	-2	18
15	Spezia	15	4	5	6	-5	17
16	Cagliari	16	4	3	9	-10	15
17	Torino	15	2	8	5	-3	14
18	Crotone	15	4	1	10	-10	13
19	Benevento	16	2	6	8	-16	12
20	Parma	16	2	5	9	-17	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	15	13	1	1	+17	40
2	Inter	16	10	5	1	+18	35
3	Atalanta	15	9	4	2	+14	31
4	Napoli	16	9	1	6	+8	28
5	Sassuolo	17	8	3	6	+1	27
6	Lazio	15	8	2	5	+2	26
7	Juventus	15	6	6	3	+11	24
8	Verona	16	5	5	6	+0	20
9	Udinese	16	4	6	6	-5	18
10	Roma	15	5	3	7	-9	18
11	Benevento	15	5	3	7	-11	18
12	Torino	15	4	4	7	-5	16
13	Sampdoria	15	4	4	7	-5	16
14	Spezia	16	4	3	9	-13	15
15	Genoa	16	3	5	8	-12	14
16	Bologna	16	3	4	9	-9	13
17	Fiorentina	16	3	4	9	-12	13
18	Cagliari	15	2	4	9	-9	10
19	Parma	15	1	6	8	-14	9
20	Crotone	16	0	2	14	-31	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.