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Coppa Italia
Referee: V Crezzini
Parma
S T T T S
2–0
Full-time
Catania
T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Catania
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

35% Possession 65%
12 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Parma Catania
1–0 S. Lontani ⚽
19′
33′
🟨 Alessandro Quaini
2–0 S. Lontani ⚽
E. B. Toure
35′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Raimo
↦ D. Donnarumma
46′
🔁 M. Liguori
↦ A. Corbari
47′
🟨 Simone Leonardi
63′
🔁 F. Di Tacchio
↦ A. Quaini
63′
🔁 S. Caturano
↦ S. Leonardi
M. Keita 🔁
↦ A. Konate
66′
O. Sorensen 🔁
↦ A. Bernabe
66′
M. Frigan 🔁
↦ E. B. Toure
67′
O. Diallo 🔁
↦ S. Lontani
77′
82′
🔁 M. Perrotta
↦ A. Allegretto
F. Carboni 🔁
↦ S. Britschgi
83′
Franco Carboni 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Parma

4-3-3
40 E. Corvi G
15 E. Delprato D
37 M. Troilo D
39 A. Circati D
14 E. Valeri D
10 A. Bernabe M
32 C. Ordonez M
47 A. Konate M
27 S. Britschgi F
19 E. B. Toure F
76 S. Lontani F
Bench (13)
30 G. Daffara
75 A. Mazzocchi
3 A. Ndiaye
5 L. Valenti
29 F. Carboni
72 D. Drobnic
11 P. Almqvist
16 M. Keita
24 O. Sorensen
80 R. Kouda
20 M. Frigan
21 A. Zouin
7 O. Diallo

Coach: Carlos Cuesta

Catania

4-3-3
22 F. Rinaldi G
2 G. Pagliai D
68 M. Ierardi D
6 A. Allegretto D
20 D. Donnarumma D
30 A. Corbari M
16 A. Quaini M
8 K. Jimenez M
7 G. Bruzzaniti F
77 S. Leonardi F
10 E. Cicerelli F
Bench (12)
66 C. De Falco
57 A. Dini
1 A. Vitali
5 M. Perrotta
19 A. Raimo
14 F. Di Tacchio
23 G. Lunetta
76 G. Cariello
21 M. Liguori
9 S. Caturano
11 A. Rolfini
70 N. Catania

Coach: Emilio Longo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

V Crezzini · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.