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Serie A
Referee: Marco Di Bello
Genoa
U U T T S
0–2
Full-time
Napoli
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,67 xG 0,77
46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Feb -26 Genoa – Napoli 2–3 5. Oct -25 Napoli – Genoa 2–1 11. May -25 Napoli – Genoa 2–2 21. Dec -24 Genoa – Napoli 1–2 17. Feb -24 Napoli – Genoa 1–1

Match report

Genoa Napoli
Stefano Sabelli 🟨
-5′
Leo Østigård 🟨
-5′
Half-time 0–0
54′
🟨 Matteo Politano
S. Otoa 🔁
↦ L. Ostigard
66′
Junior Messias 🔁
↦ T. Baldanzi
66′
66′
🔁 N. Lang
↦ Alisson Santos
67′
🔁 K. De Bruyne
↦ F. Anguissa
67′
🔁 A. Vergara
↦ M. Politano
F. Meichtry 🔁
↦ L. Colombo
74′
D. Sow 🔁
↦ Amorim
75′
78′
🔁 L. Lucca
↦ R. Hojlund
81′
🔁 M. Olivera
↦ R. Marin
82′
⚽ K. De Bruyne 0–1
A. Vergara
A. Zulevic 🔁
↦ J. Vasquez
87′
87′
⚽ A. Vergara 0–2
K. De Bruyne
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Genoa

3-4-2-1
1 J. Bijlow G
27 A. Marcandalli D
5 L. Ostigard D
22 J. Vasquez D
15 B. Norton-Cuffy M
32 M. Frendrup M
4 Amorim M
77 M. E. Ellertsson M
8 T. Baldanzi F
9 Vitinha F
29 L. Colombo F
Bench (13)
39 D. Sommariva
99 F. Stolz
74 M. Doucoure
20 S. Sabelli
3 A. Martin
2 M. Mitaj
31 D. Puczka
34 S. Otoa
97 D. Sow
11 F. Meichtry
10 Junior Messias
80 A. Zulevic
71 S. Wiafe

Coach: Daniele De Rossi

Napoli

4-3-3
1 A. Meret G
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
13 A. Rrahmani D
16 R. Marin D
37 L. Spinazzola D
99 F. Anguissa M
68 S. Lobotka M
8 S. McTominay M
21 M. Politano F
19 R. Hojlund F
27 Alisson Santos F
Bench (13)
32 V. Milinkovic-Savic
14 N. Contini
17 M. Olivera
31 S. Beukema
47 C. Garofalo
11 K. De Bruyne
26 A. Vergara
6 B. Gilmour
2 C. Favasuli
23 Giovane
70 N. Lang
7 David Neres
20 L. Lucca

Coach: Massimiliano Allegri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,51
🔒
U
3,28
🔒
B ✓
1,87
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,25
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,60
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Marco Di Bello · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.