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Serie A
Referee: F Pasqua
Udinese
T U S S S
1–0
Full-time
Milan
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Milan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
11 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 4
14 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Apr -19 Milan – Udinese 1–1 4. Nov -18 Udinese – Milan 0–1 4. Feb -18 Udinese – Milan 1–1 17. Sep -17 Milan – Udinese 2–1 29. Jan -17 Udinese – Milan 2–1

Match report

Udinese Milan
21′
🟨 Lucas Paquetá
34′
🟨 Hakan Çalhanoğlu
44′
🟨 Fabio Borini
Mato Jajalo 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
60′
🔁 Franck Kessié
↦ Fabio Borini
Rodrigo De Paul 🔁
↦ Ignacio Pussetto
71′
Ilija Nestorovski 🔁
↦ Seko Fofana
71′
1–0 Rodrigo Becão ⚽
Rodrigo De Paul
72′
75′
🔁 Rafael Leão
↦ Samu Castillejo
76′
🔁 Ismaël Bennacer
↦ Lucas Paquetá
Ken Sema 🔁
↦ Giuseppe Pezzella
81′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-2
1 Juan Musso G
50 Rodrigo Becão D
5 William Troost-Ekong D
3 Samir D
19 Jens Stryger Larsen M
8 Mato Jajalo M
38 Rolando Mandragora M
6 Seko Fofana M
97 Giuseppe Pezzella M
23 Ignacio Pussetto F
15 Kevin Lasagna F
Bench (12)
88 Nicolas
27 Samuele Perisan
2 Francisco Sierralta
17 Bram Nuytinck
4 Nicholas Opoku
87 Sebastien De Maio
72 Antonín Barák
12 Ken Sema
11 Walace
10 Rodrigo De Paul
30 Ilija Nestorovski
91 Łukasz Teodorczyk

Coach: I. Tudor

Milan

4-3-1-2
99 Gianluigi Donnarumma G
2 Davide Calabria D
22 Mateo Musacchio D
13 Alessio Romagnoli D
68 Ricardo Rodríguez D
11 Fabio Borini M
10 Hakan Çalhanoğlu M
39 Lucas Paquetá M
8 Suso M
7 Samu Castillejo F
9 Krzysztof Piątek F
Bench (12)
90 Antonio Donnarumma
84 Matteo Soncin
43 Léo Duarte
12 Andrea Conti
5 Giacomo Bonaventura
4 Ismaël Bennacer
93 Diego Laxalt
33 Rade Krunić
79 Franck Kessié
46 Matteo Gabbia
27 André Silva
17 Rafael Leão

Coach: M. Giampaolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,80
🔒
U
3,31
🔒
B
2,06
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,10
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,73
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Pasqua · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.