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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Valeri

Fiorentina

S T U S T

2–0

Full-time

Atalanta

U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%

7 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 7. · Atalanta 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	7	7	0	0	+11	21
2	Napoli	7	5	0	2	+3	15
3	Sassuolo	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	Inter	7	4	1	2	+5	13
5	Lazio	7	4	0	3	+1	12
6	Roma	7	3	2	2	+4	11
7	Fiorentina	6	3	1	2	+7	10
8	Genoa	5	3	0	2	-1	9
9	Spal	6	3	0	3	-2	9
10	Sampdoria	6	2	2	2	+6	8
11	Udinese	7	2	2	3	+0	8
12	Parma	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Bologna	7	2	1	4	-4	7
14	Atalanta	6	1	3	2	+1	6
15	Milan	5	1	3	1	+0	6
16	Torino	6	1	3	2	-2	6
17	Cagliari	7	1	3	3	-5	6
18	Empoli	6	1	2	3	-2	5
19	Chievo	6	0	2	4	-10	2
20	Frosinone	6	0	1	5	-16	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Fiorentina	3	3	0	0	+9	9
3	Sassuolo	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Genoa	3	3	0	0	+4	9
6	Roma	4	2	2	0	+6	8
7	Inter	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+3	6
9	Spal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Bologna	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+3	4
12	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Parma	3	1	1	1	+1	4
14	Milan	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Empoli	3	1	1	1	+1	4
16	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Cagliari	3	0	3	0	+0	3
18	Torino	3	1	0	2	-2	3
19	Chievo	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Frosinone	3	0	1	2	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Inter	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Napoli	4	2	0	2	-2	6
4	Lazio	4	2	0	2	-2	6
5	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+4	4
6	Sassuolo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Udinese	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Torino	3	0	3	0	+0	3
9	Roma	3	1	0	2	-2	3
10	Spal	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Parma	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Cagliari	4	1	0	3	-5	3
13	Milan	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Atalanta	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Empoli	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Chievo	3	0	1	2	-7	1
19	Genoa	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Frosinone	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.