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Serie A
Referee: Gianluca Rocchi
Juventus
T S U U T
1–1
Full-time
Atalanta
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
This season — Serie A · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 66%
78%
53%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
53%
67%
Both score Ø 56%
50%
61%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,9
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
15 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 8
3 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juventus 1. · Atalanta 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 36 28 5 3 +42 89
2 Napoli 36 23 7 6 +36 76
3 Inter 36 19 9 8 +26 66
4 Atalanta 36 19 8 9 +29 65
5 Milan 37 18 11 8 +18 65
6 Roma 37 17 12 8 +17 63
7 Torino 37 15 15 7 +13 60
8 Lazio 36 17 7 12 +12 58
9 Sampdoria 37 14 8 15 +7 50
10 Sassuolo 37 9 16 12 -5 43
11 Spal 37 11 9 17 -11 42
12 Cagliari 37 10 11 16 -17 41
13 Parma 37 10 11 16 -19 41
14 Fiorentina 37 8 16 13 +2 40
15 Bologna 36 10 10 16 -9 40
16 Udinese 37 10 10 17 -15 40
17 Empoli 37 10 8 19 -18 38
18 Genoa 37 8 13 16 -18 37
19 Frosinone 37 5 9 23 -40 24
20 Chievo 37 2 13 22 -50 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventus Atalanta
Alex Sandro 🟨
14′
28′
🟨 Hans Hateboer
33′
J. Iličić 0–1
A. Masiello
Cristiano Ronaldo 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
F. Bernardeschi 🔁
↦ Alex Sandro
46′
M. Mandžukić 🔁
↦ A. Barzagli
61′
62′
🔁 G. Mancini
↦ R. Gosens
Blaise Matuidi 🟨
70′
74′
🔁 M. Pašalić
↦ A. Gómez
78′
🔁 M. Barrow
↦ J. Iličić
1–1 M. Mandžukić
J. Cuadrado
80′
M. Kean 🔁
↦ B. Matuidi
85′
Federico Bernardeschi 🟥
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Juventus

4-4-2
1 W. Szczęsny G
15 A. Barzagli D
19 L. Bonucci D
12 Alex Sandro D
20 João Cancelo D
14 B. Matuidi M
5 M. Pjanić M
16 J. Cuadrado M
23 E. Can M
7 Cristiano Ronaldo F
10 P. Dybala F
Bench (12)
33 F. Bernardeschi
17 M. Mandžukić
18 M. Kean
21 C. Pinsoglio
32 M. Del Favero
2 M. De Sciglio
37 L. Spinazzola
24 D. Rugani
3 G. Chiellini
30 R. Bentancur
4 M. Cáceres
41 H. Nicolussi

Coach: M. Allegri

Atalanta

3-4-1-2
95 P. Gollini G
5 A. Masiello D
19 B. Djimsiti D
21 T. Castagne M
33 H. Hateboer D
8 R. Gosens M
10 A. Gómez F
72 J. Iličić F
15 M. de Roon M
11 R. Freuler M
91 D. Zapata F
Bench (8)
23 G. Mancini
88 M. Pašalić
99 M. Barrow
22 M. Pessina
41 Ibañez
1 E. Berisha
7 A. Reca
31 F. Rossi

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Gianluca Rocchi · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.