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La Liga

Referee: Jesús Gil

Sociedad

T T U U T

2–1

Full-time

Celta

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 34%

39%

29%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

45%

48%

Both score Ø 57%

55%

58%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

40% Possession 60%

7 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sociedad 7. · Celta 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	32	22	7	3	+39	73
2	Real Madrid	32	21	7	4	+32	70
3	Sevilla	32	21	4	7	+22	67
4	Barcelona	30	20	5	5	+43	65
5	Villarreal	32	12	13	7	+13	49
6	Betis	32	14	7	11	-3	49
7	Sociedad	31	12	11	8	+15	47
8	Osasuna	32	10	10	12	-7	40
9	Granada	30	11	6	13	-14	39
10	Ath Bilbao	31	9	11	11	+6	38
11	Celta	31	9	11	11	-7	38
12	Levante	32	9	11	12	-7	38
13	Cadiz	32	9	9	14	-21	36
14	Valencia	32	8	11	13	-7	35
15	Getafe	31	7	10	14	-12	31
16	Alaves	32	7	9	16	-21	30
17	Valladolid	31	5	13	13	-14	28
18	Huesca	32	5	12	15	-17	27
19	Elche	32	5	12	15	-21	27
20	Eibar	31	4	11	16	-19	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	17	13	3	1	+28	42
2	Barcelona	15	10	4	1	+23	34
3	Real Madrid	15	11	1	3	+17	34
4	Sevilla	15	11	1	3	+14	34
5	Betis	17	8	5	4	+4	29
6	Granada	15	8	3	4	+1	27
7	Ath Bilbao	15	7	4	4	+10	25
8	Sociedad	16	6	6	4	+7	24
9	Valencia	15	6	6	3	+6	24
10	Villarreal	15	6	6	3	+4	24
11	Osasuna	17	6	5	6	-2	23
12	Levante	17	5	7	5	-3	22
13	Getafe	17	5	6	6	+2	21
14	Celta	15	6	3	6	-3	21
15	Alaves	17	5	5	7	-6	20
16	Elche	15	3	8	4	-5	17
17	Cadiz	17	4	5	8	-12	17
18	Huesca	15	3	6	6	-4	15
19	Valladolid	15	3	5	7	-8	14
20	Eibar	15	1	6	8	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	10	6	1	+15	36
2	Sevilla	17	10	3	4	+8	33
3	Barcelona	15	10	1	4	+20	31
4	Ath Madrid	15	9	4	2	+11	31
5	Villarreal	17	6	7	4	+9	25
6	Sociedad	15	6	5	4	+8	23
7	Betis	15	6	2	7	-7	20
8	Cadiz	15	5	4	6	-9	19
9	Celta	16	3	8	5	-4	17
10	Osasuna	15	4	5	6	-5	17
11	Levante	15	4	4	7	-4	16
12	Valladolid	16	2	8	6	-6	14
13	Eibar	16	3	5	8	-9	14
14	Ath Bilbao	16	2	7	7	-4	13
15	Huesca	17	2	6	9	-13	12
16	Granada	15	3	3	9	-15	12
17	Valencia	17	2	5	10	-13	11
18	Getafe	14	2	4	8	-14	10
19	Alaves	15	2	4	9	-15	10
20	Elche	17	2	4	11	-16	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.