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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
Sociedad
T T T T U
1–0
Full-time
Celta
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,7
This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 37%
42%
32%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
26%
42%
Both score Ø 40%
37%
42%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
12 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 7. · Celta 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 20 14 4 2 +24 46
2 Sevilla 19 12 5 2 +17 41
3 Betis 19 10 3 6 +9 33
4 Ath Madrid 19 9 5 5 +9 32
5 Barcelona 19 8 7 4 +8 31
6 Vallecano 19 9 3 7 +6 30
7 Sociedad 19 8 6 5 +0 30
8 Villarreal 19 7 7 5 +11 28
9 Valencia 19 7 7 5 +3 28
10 Ath Bilbao 20 6 9 5 +3 27
11 Espanol 19 7 5 7 +0 26
12 Celta 19 6 5 8 +0 23
13 Granada 19 5 8 6 -3 23
14 Osasuna 19 5 7 7 -7 22
15 Mallorca 20 4 8 8 -13 20
16 Getafe 19 4 6 9 -7 18
17 Elche 19 3 7 9 -9 16
18 Alaves 19 4 4 11 -14 16
19 Cadiz 19 2 8 9 -17 14
20 Levante 20 1 8 11 -20 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Celta
-5′
🟨 Thiago Galhardo
1–0 Mikel Oyarzabal
13′
30′
🟨 Santi Mina
Portu 🔁
↦ A. Isak
39′
Portu 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 Nolito
↦ F. Cervi
Aritz Elustondo ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
62′
Aritz Elustondo 🟨
64′
71′
🟨 Iago Aspas
Zaldúa 🔁
↦ Gorosabel
78′
Jon Guridi 🔁
↦ Rafinha
78′
Julen Lobete 🔁
↦ A. Januzaj
78′
81′
🔁 Thiago Galhardo
↦ Denis Suárez
Martín Zubimendi 🔁
↦ Guevara
88′
Mikel Merino 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 Álex Remiro G
6 Elustondo D
18 Gorosabel D
24 R. Le Normand D
12 Aihen Muñoz D
17 Rafinha M
11 A. Januzaj F
8 Mikel Merino M
16 Guevara M
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
19 A. Isak F
Bench (12)
7 Portu
2 Zaldúa
14 Jon Guridi
35 Julen Lobete
3 Martín Zubimendi
15 Diego Rico
13 M. Ryan
4 Illarramendi
5 Zubeldía
26 Jon Pacheco
37 N. Djouahra
27 Beñat Turrientes

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Celta

4-1-3-2
1 M. Dituro G
2 Hugo Mallo D
4 N. Araujo D
15 J. Aidoo D
17 Javier Galán D
6 Denis Suárez M
11 F. Cervi M
23 Brais Méndez M
8 Fran Beltrán M
10 Iago Aspas F
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (10)
9 Nolito
7 Thiago Galhardo
37 Coke Carrillo
34 Fernando Medrano
29 Gabri Veiga
24 J. Murillo
5 O. Yokuşlu
28 Carlos Domínguez
19 José Fontán
20 Kevin Vázquez

Coach: E. Coudet

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,88
U
3,45
B
4,44
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,18
U2,5 ✓
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.