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La Liga
Referee: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes
Celta
T T U T S
0–2
Full-time
Osasuna
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Osasuna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,96 xG 0,95
52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 2
6 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Celta Osasuna
24′
Rubén García 0–1
Unai Núñez 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–1
51′
🟨 Lucas Torró
Miguel Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Carles Pérez
63′
67′
🔁 Pablo Ibáñez Lumbreras
↦ Rubén García
Gabri Veiga 🔁
↦ Jørgen Strand Larsen
73′
74′
Moi Gómez 0–2
79′
🔁 Chimy Ávila
↦ Ante Budimir
79′
🔁 Jesús Areso
↦ Aimar Oroz
Luca De La Torre 🔁
↦ Hugo Sotelo
81′
Manuel Sánchez 🔁
↦ Franco Cervi
81′
Williot Swedberg 🔁
↦ Iago Aspas
82′
90′
🔁 José Manuel Arnáiz
↦ Jon Moncayola
90′
🔁 Iker Munoz
↦ Lucas Torró
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Celta

4-4-2
13 Iván Villar G
3 Óscar Mingueza D
15 Joseph Aidoo D
4 Unai Núñez D
11 Franco Cervi D
7 Carles Pérez M
8 Fran Beltrán M
30 Hugo Sotelo M
17 Jonathan Bamba M
10 Iago Aspas F
18 Jørgen Strand Larsen F
Bench (12)
29 Miguel Rodríguez
24 Gabri Veiga
23 Manuel Sánchez
14 Luca De La Torre
19 Williot Swedberg
26 Coke Carrillo
28 Carlos Domínguez
20 Kevin Vázquez
2 Carl Starfelt
5 Renato Tapia
6 Carlos Dotor
9 Gonçalo Paciência

Coach: Rafael Benítez

Osasuna

4-3-3
1 Sergio Herrera G
15 Rubén Peña D
24 Alejandro Catena D
5 David García D
22 Johan Mojica D
7 Jon Moncayola M
6 Lucas Torró M
10 Aimar Oroz M
14 Rubén García F
17 Ante Budimir F
16 Moi Gómez F
Bench (12)
19 Pablo Ibáñez Lumbreras
12 Jesús Areso
9 Chimy Ávila
20 José Manuel Arnáiz
34 Iker Munoz
31 Pablo Valencia
13 Aitor Fernández
3 Juan Cruz
2 Nacho Vidal
28 Jorge Herrando
4 Unai García
21 Javi Martínez

Coach: Arrasate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,12
U
3,23
B ✓
3,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,36
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Pablo Gonzales Fuertes · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.