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La Liga
Referee: José Sánchez
Valladolid
T U T S T
0–1
Full-time
Cadiz
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,2
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-2,2
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 20%
40%
0%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
0,6
0,0
Conceded
2,0
2,8
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-2,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
18 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valladolid 17. · Cadiz 20. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 5 5 0 0 +10 15
2 Barcelona 5 4 1 0 +14 13
3 Betis 5 4 0 1 +5 12
4 Osasuna 5 4 0 1 +4 12
5 Villarreal 5 3 1 1 +8 10
6 Ath Bilbao 5 3 1 1 +7 10
7 Ath Madrid 5 3 1 1 +5 10
8 Girona 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Vallecano 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Celta 5 2 1 2 -2 7
11 Sociedad 5 2 1 2 -2 7
12 Valencia 5 2 0 3 +2 6
13 Mallorca 5 1 2 2 -2 5
14 Almeria 5 1 1 3 -2 4
15 Espanol 5 1 1 3 -4 4
16 Sevilla 5 1 1 3 -4 4
17 Valladolid 5 1 1 3 -7 4
18 Getafe 5 1 1 3 -8 4
19 Elche 5 0 1 4 -11 1
20 Cadiz 5 0 0 5 -14 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Cadiz
Monchu 🟨
18′
28′
🟨 Alfonso Espino
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Rubén Alcaraz
↦ B. Ocampo
53′
🟨 Fede San Emeterio
57′
🔁 José Mari
↦ Fede
61′
🔁 T. Bongonda
↦ Álex
Iván Sánchez 🔁
↦ Monchu
67′
J. Narváez 🔁
↦ Óscar Plano
67′
71′
🔁 Álvaro Negredo
↦ Alejo
71′
🔁 Zaldúa
↦ Isaac Carcelén
75′
🟨 José Mari
79′
🟨 Joseba Zaldúa
M. Malsa 🔁
↦ Roque Mesa
82′
Sergio León 🔁
↦ G. Plata
82′
Sergi Guardiola 🔁
↦ S. Weissman
90′
92′
⚽ Álvaro Negredo 0–1
Zaldúa
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-3-3
25 Asenjo G
27 Iván Fresneda D
24 Joaquín Fernández D
5 Javier Sánchez D
12 L. Olaza D
8 Monchu M
17 Roque Mesa M
4 Kike Pérez M
11 G. Plata F
9 S. Weissman F
10 Óscar Plano F
Bench (12)
21 Iván Sánchez
20 J. Narváez
14 M. Malsa
7 Sergio León
16 Sergi Guardiola
23 A. Tuhami
3 Z. Feddal
19 Kenedy
1 Jordi Masip
6 Álvaro Aguado
15 J. El Yamiq
18 Escudero

Coach: Pacheta

Cadiz

4-2-3-1
1 J. Ledesma G
20 Isaac Carcelén D
23 Luis Hernández D
32 Víctor Chust D
22 A. Espino D
24 Fede M
8 Álex M
11 Alejo M
7 Sobrino M
14 B. Ocampo M
15 Lucas Pérez F
Bench (12)
4 Rubén Alcaraz
6 José Mari
10 T. Bongonda
18 Álvaro Negredo
2 Zaldúa
21 S. Arzamendia
5 M. Mbaye
17 A. Mabil
16 Juan Cala
13 David Gil
19 Álvaro Giménez
36 Antonio Blanco

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,04
U
3,22
B ✓
4,13
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
2,41
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.