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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Osasuna
U U T T S
2–0
Full-time
Cadiz
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Osasuna 5. · Cadiz 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vallecano 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Betis 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Celta 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Ath Bilbao 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Mallorca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Barcelona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Sevilla 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Espanol 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Almeria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Girona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Cadiz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Elche 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Getafe 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Osasuna Cadiz
-5′
🟨 Iván Alejo
1–0 E. Ávila
37′
Half-time 1–0
Lucas Torró 🟨
47′
47′
🟨 Tomás Alarcón
Chimy Ávila 🟨
58′
62′
🔁 José Mari
↦ A. Mabil
62′
🔁 Alejo
↦ M. Diarra
62′
🔁 S. Arzamendia
↦ Fali Jiménez
Rubén García 🔁
↦ E. Ávila
65′
Kike García 🔁
↦ A. Budimir
65′
Nacho Vidal 🔁
↦ Rubén Peña
75′
75′
🔁 Álvaro Negredo
↦ A. Espino
76′
🟨 Tomás Alarcón
76′
🟥 Tomás Alarcón
D. Brašanac 🔁
↦ Moncayola
76′
78′
🟨 Víctor Chust
2–0 Kike García
79′
80′
🔁 Fede
↦ Lucas Pérez
Roberto Torres 🔁
↦ Aimar Oroz
84′
94′
🟨 Anthony Lozano
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Osasuna

4-4-2
1 Sergio Herrera G
15 Rubén Peña D
4 Unai García D
5 David García D
3 Juan Cruz D
9 E. Ávila M
7 Moncayola M
6 Lucas Torró M
16 Moi Gómez M
17 A. Budimir F
29 Aimar Oroz F
Bench (12)
14 Rubén García
18 Kike García
2 Nacho Vidal
8 D. Brašanac
10 Roberto Torres
11 Kike Barja
21 Javi Martínez
25 Aitor Fernández
19 Pablo Ibáñez
20 Manu Sánchez
13 Juan Pérez
23 Aridane

Coach: Arrasate

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 J. Ledesma G
2 Zaldúa D
23 Luis Hernández D
32 Víctor Chust D
22 A. Espino D
29 M. Diarra M
3 Fali Jiménez M
12 T. Alarcón M
17 A. Mabil M
15 Lucas Pérez F
9 A. Lozano F
Bench (11)
6 José Mari
11 Alejo
21 S. Arzamendia
18 Álvaro Negredo
24 Fede
16 Juan Cala
13 David Gil
14 M. Mbaye
19 Álvaro Giménez
36 Antonio Blanco
35 Kikín

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,95
U
3,26
B
4,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,42
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.