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La Liga

Referee: Javier Iglesias

Almeria

U T U S T

0–1

Full-time

Osasuna

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

25%

75%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

7 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 10

2 Offside 3

4 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 14. · Osasuna 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Barcelona	5	4	1	0	+14	13
3	Betis	5	4	0	1	+5	12
4	Villarreal	5	3	1	1	+8	10
5	Ath Bilbao	5	3	1	1	+7	10
6	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+5	10
7	Osasuna	4	3	0	1	+3	9
8	Girona	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Vallecano	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Celta	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Sociedad	5	2	1	2	-2	7
12	Valencia	5	2	0	3	+2	6
13	Mallorca	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Almeria	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Espanol	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Sevilla	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Valladolid	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Getafe	5	1	1	3	-8	4
19	Elche	5	0	1	4	-11	1
20	Cadiz	5	0	0	5	-14	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Betis	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Osasuna	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Valencia	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Girona	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Barcelona	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Celta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Getafe	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Elche	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Espanol	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Cadiz	3	0	0	3	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Villarreal	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Sociedad	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Betis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Sevilla	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Celta	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Girona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Almeria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Valladolid	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-5	0
19	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-6	0
20	Elche	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.