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La Liga

Referee: Isidro Díaz de Mera

Elche

T T T S T

1–1

Full-time

Almeria

S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Almeria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

3,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-3,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%

13 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

7 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Elche 19. · Almeria 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Betis	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Barcelona	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Valencia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Sociedad	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Celta	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Girona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Elche	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Betis	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Barcelona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Celta	2	0	1	1	-3	1
8	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Ath Madrid	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Mallorca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Girona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Elche	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.