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Referee: A Kulbakov
Villarreal
U S T S S
4–2
Full-time
HNK Hajduk Split
S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal HNK Hajduk Split
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 5
7 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Villarreal HNK Hajduk Split
2′
⚽ S. Biuk 0–1
13′
🟨 Marko Livaja
1–1 José Luis Morales ⚽
14′
1–2 M. Livaja ⚽
own goal
19′
Alejandro Baena 🟨
32′
35′
🟨 Emir Sahiti
2–2 José Luis Morales ⚽
36′
Half-time 3–2
3–2 Gerard Moreno ⚽
46′
G. Lo Celso 🔁
↦ Gerard Moreno
60′
Kiko Femenía 🔁
↦ Dela
61′
Dani Parejo 🔁
↦ Manu Morlanes
61′
Pau Torres 🔁
↦ Pedraza
61′
69′
🔁 J. Mlakar
↦ E. Sahiti
70′
🔁 G. Lovrencsics
↦ D. Mikanović
72′
🟨 Chidozie Awaziem
N. Jackson 🔁
↦ José Luis Morales
73′
79′
🔁 N. Kalinić
↦ M. Livaja
79′
🔁 M. Fossati
↦ J. Elez
Aïssa Mandi 🟨
83′
85′
🔁 J. Atanasov
↦ N. Kalinić
85′
⚽ M. Fossati 3–3
94′
🟨 Gergő Lovrencsics
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Pepe Reina G
37 Dela D
23 A. Mandi D
5 Jorge Cuenca D
24 Pedraza D
11 S. Chukwueze M
19 F. Coquelin M
20 Manu Morlanes M
30 Álex Baena M
22 José Luis Morales F
7 Gerard Moreno F
Bench (11)
17 G. Lo Celso
2 Kiko Femenía
10 Dani Parejo
4 Pau Torres
26 N. Jackson
21 Yeremi Pino
13 G. Rulli
28 Carlo Adriano
3 Raúl Albiol
36 Dani Tasende
31 Iker Álvarez

Coach: Unai Emery

HNK Hajduk Split

4-2-3-1
91 L. Kalinić G
24 D. Mikanović D
5 T. Borevković D
19 J. Elez D
17 D. Melnjak D
25 C. Awaziem M
14 L. Grgic M
77 E. Sahiti M
23 F. Krovinović M
27 S. Biuk M
10 M. Livaja F
Bench (12)
29 J. Mlakar
26 G. Lovrencsics
9 N. Kalinić
6 M. Fossati
20 J. Atanasov
30 K. Sentić
1 D. Subašić
8 S. Simič
3 D. Čolina
88 I. Ćubelić
15 K. Dimitrov
4 J. Vuković

Coach: V. Dambrauskas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Kulbakov · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.