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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero

Elche

T T U T T

2–2

Full-time

Villarreal

S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 19/21 matches

Win Ø 27%

16%

38%

Points per game

0,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

37%

43%

Both score Ø 58%

53%

62%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,4

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

44% Possession 56%

8 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elche 19. · Villarreal 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	19	16	2	1	+30	50
2	Real Madrid	21	13	4	4	+18	43
3	Barcelona	20	12	4	4	+23	40
4	Sevilla	20	12	3	5	+12	39
5	Villarreal	21	8	11	2	+9	35
6	Sociedad	21	8	8	5	+13	32
7	Betis	21	9	3	9	-7	30
8	Granada	22	8	6	8	-10	30
9	Levante	21	6	9	6	+0	27
10	Celta	21	6	7	8	-7	25
11	Ath Bilbao	20	7	3	10	+2	24
12	Getafe	20	6	6	8	-6	24
13	Cadiz	21	6	6	9	-12	24
14	Valencia	21	5	8	8	-2	23
15	Alaves	22	5	7	10	-10	22
16	Eibar	21	4	8	9	-6	20
17	Valladolid	22	4	8	10	-12	20
18	Osasuna	21	4	7	10	-11	19
19	Elche	19	3	8	8	-10	17
20	Huesca	22	2	10	10	-14	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	10	9	1	0	+21	28
2	Barcelona	10	6	3	1	+12	21
3	Villarreal	11	5	6	0	+7	21
4	Granada	11	6	3	2	+3	21
5	Sevilla	9	6	1	2	+8	19
6	Ath Bilbao	10	6	0	4	+9	18
7	Real Madrid	9	6	0	3	+9	18
8	Levante	10	4	5	1	+4	17
9	Betis	10	5	2	3	+1	17
10	Celta	10	5	1	4	-2	16
11	Getafe	11	4	3	4	+1	15
12	Sociedad	10	3	5	2	+5	14
13	Valencia	11	3	5	3	+2	14
14	Alaves	12	3	4	5	-5	13
15	Osasuna	10	3	3	4	-3	12
16	Cadiz	11	2	4	5	-6	10
17	Valladolid	11	2	4	5	-7	10
18	Huesca	11	1	5	5	-6	8
19	Elche	10	1	5	4	-7	8
20	Eibar	11	1	4	6	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	12	7	4	1	+9	25
2	Ath Madrid	9	7	1	1	+9	22
3	Sevilla	11	6	2	3	+4	20
4	Barcelona	10	6	1	3	+11	19
5	Sociedad	11	5	3	3	+8	18
6	Villarreal	10	3	5	2	+2	14
7	Cadiz	10	4	2	4	-6	14
8	Eibar	10	3	4	3	+1	13
9	Betis	11	4	1	6	-8	13
10	Levante	11	2	4	5	-4	10
11	Valladolid	11	2	4	5	-5	10
12	Elche	9	2	3	4	-3	9
13	Valencia	10	2	3	5	-4	9
14	Celta	11	1	6	4	-5	9
15	Alaves	10	2	3	5	-5	9
16	Getafe	9	2	3	4	-7	9
17	Granada	11	2	3	6	-13	9
18	Huesca	11	1	5	5	-8	8
19	Osasuna	11	1	4	6	-8	7
20	Ath Bilbao	10	1	3	6	-7	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.